Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 222153

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
253 PM MST Sun Apr 22 2018

.SYNOPSIS...A weak area of low in the upper atmosphere will bring
clouds to northern Arizona into this evening. A few light showers
are possible over southern Apache County into this evening.
Warmer temperatures, lighter winds, and mostly dry conditions can
be expected Monday and Tuesday. Limited moisture may creep back
into far eastern Arizona from New Mexico Wednesday through Friday.


.DISCUSSION...A weak upper level low moving over northern
Arizona from the southwest will continue to bring clouds to the
area. There is just enough moisture and lift to produce virga and
possibly light rain showers to southeastern Arizona this
afternoon. This activity is moving northeastward and may move over
the White Mountains late this afternoon and early evening. Have
introduced a slight chance of showers for that area until 800 PM
MST this evening.

High pressure will rebound over Arizona on Monday and Tuesday as
trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest slides down the
eastern side of the Rockies and into the Southern Plains by
Wednesday. High temperatures will run 5 to 8 degrees above normal
for this time of the year during this time. Moisture building over
New Mexico will slowly drift into Arizona Wednesday through
Friday. This will bring a slight chance of afternoon showers or
thunderstorms mainly across the higher terrain of Apache County
including the White Mountains.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...Expect VFR conditions across
northern Arizona for the next 24 hrs, under occasional mid-and-high
level clouds. Generally light and variable winds are anticipated
tonight, with southwest winds of around 10G15-20KT during the
daylight hours Monday. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF


.FIRE WEATHER...Warm and dry conditions continue through Tuesday
with typical spring afternoon breezes.

Wednesday through Friday...Warmer than normal daytime temperatures
will persist. Though dry conditions are generally expected to
continue, it`s hard to completely rule out slight chances of showers
across portions of Apache County.





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