Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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955
FXUS65 KCYS 052338
AFDCYS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
538 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 340 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR ONE MORE NIGHT ACROSS THE CWA WITH
JUST SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS PASSING ACROSS THE REGION. UPPER RIDGE
AXIS CURRENTLY OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST
OVERNIGHT LEAVING THE CWA UNDER AN INCREASINGLY MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF AN UPPER LOW THAT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA FRIDAY. AN INITIAL UPPER IMPULSE WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS
THE AREA LATE FRIDAY AND SHOULD SET OFF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A
FEW STORMS OVER MAINLY SOUTHEAST WYOMING FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING BEFORE BECOMING MORE ISOLATED FRIDAY
NIGHT. A BIT COOLER TEMPS FRIDAY GIVEN MORE CLOUD COVER BUT STILL
WARM. A MORE SIGNIFICANT LOBE OF ENERGY LOOKS TO ROTATE NORTH
ACROSS THE AREA LATER SATURDAY WITH A DEEPER MOIST SE TO EASTERLY
FLOW SO MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY. A
FEW STORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN CWA BUT BETTER SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY SHOULD STAY TO THE SOUTH.  WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINS ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COLORADO BORDER
WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING TO AROUND 8-9KFT SATURDAY NIGHT. DECENT
SNOWFALL A POSSIBILITY OVER THE HIGHER MTNS SATURDAY NIGHT AS
WELL.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

THE UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD ON SUNDAY ALONG WITH
PERSISTENT ALBEIT SOMEWHAT WEAKER UPSLOPE FLOW...BRINGING A
CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW T-STORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
THIS UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT EAST FOR MONDAY...HOWEVER ANOTHER UPPER
SHORTWAVE DIVING SOUTHWEST FROM CANADA WILL BRING A RENEWED
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON T-STORMS ON MONDAY. OVERALL
PRECIP TOTALS LOOK LESS WITH THIS SYSTEM DUE TO THE DISCONNECT
WITH GULF MOISTURE. TUE/WED WILL CONTINUE TO BE SHOWERY AS THIS
UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 536 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

VFR WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 10000 FEET AGL...
EXCEPT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AT WYOMING TAF SITES
AFTER 18Z FRIDAY WITH BROKEN CEILINGS FROM 3000 TO 5000 FEET AGL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 340 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

NO CONCERNS SEEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH COOLER AND WETTER
CONDITIONS RETURNING TO THE AREA.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RE
LONG TERM...RJM
AVIATION...RUBIN
FIRE WEATHER...RE



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