Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 022125
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
225 PM MST TUE FEB 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS...WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES LATER TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A
PRONOUNCED WARMING TREND WILL THEN PREVAIL LATER THIS WEEK AND INTO
THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CHILLY AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES RUNNING 15
TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. COLD NIGHT IN STORE ACROSS SE ARIZONA
WITH A HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER DESERTS. THESE
COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE NOT AS COLD AS TO WHAT OCCURRED
EXACTLY FIVE YEARS AGO.

STAYING CHILLY TOMORROW UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT WITH HIGHS AT OR
SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN TODAY.

MUCH WARMER THURSDAY AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. HIGHS ARE
FORECAST TO BE 5-10 DEGREES WARMER THAN WEDNESDAY.

LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY AS WEAK UPPER TROF MOVES
ACROSS NRN AZ INTO NM.

BIG WARM-UP THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL
HIGHS ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 03/23Z.
FEW-SCT 5-7K FT AGL ENE OF KTUS UNTIL 03/03Z OTRW CLR. SFC WIND NWLY
AT 10-20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KTS...TAPERING OFF AFTER 03/03Z.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS INTO THIS EVENIGN ESPECIALLY EAST OF
TUCSON INCLUDING THE UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY. WINDS WILL TAPER OFF
TONIGHT AND BECOME TERRAIN DRIVEN MAINLY LESS THAN 15 MPH WILL THEN
PREVAIL AREA-WIDE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FEW EASTERLY BREEZES WILL
OCCUR THURSDAY AND ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY IN PRONE
MOUNTAIN GAP LOCATIONS. COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH
WARMING THEREAFTER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER
FRIDAY...THEN A BIG WARMUP THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

  HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST WEDNESDAY
   FOR AZZ502-504>506.

&&

$$

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