331
FXUS63 KGLD 250856
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
256 AM MDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near average temperatures and dry conditions expected through
  the upcoming weekend. Climatology.

- There is the potential for a system to move through at the
  beginning of next week, bringing near to below average
  temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 130 PM MDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Synoptic Overview: An upper level low (centered over Iowa at
18Z) will progress southward into MO-IL (today).. then stall
invof the Central MS River Valley (Wed). Meanwhile, a pronounced
upper level ridge over the western CONUS will shift eastward
across the Rockies (tonight) and High Plains (Wed).

Expect a clearing trend today followed by clear skies and a
modest warming trend on Wednesday.. as the aforementioned ridge
shifts eastward over the region. Breezy (15-30 mph) N-NNW winds
this afternoon will become light/variable this evening and
overnight, shifting to the S at 5-15 mph during the day on Wed..
as the MSLP pattern re-orients in response to the development
of a modest lee trough in Colorado.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 254 AM MDT Wed Sep 25 2024

For the weekend, fairly benign weather is forecast with the ridge
still over the area. Temperatures are forecast to warm into the mid
to upper 80`s each day. There could be some briefly critical fire
weather conditions in Eastern Colorado on sunday, but looks to be
marginal at best. It`ll depend on how the system to the north
advances and how much it can tighten the pressure and height
gradients over the area.

At the end of the weekend and into the beginning of next week, the
ridge is forecast to break down with an upper low moving through the
Northern CONUS and bringing a cold front through the area. When it
the front does move through, temperatures would likely lower back
into the 60`s and 70`s. Precipitation chances look to be very low
with relatively dry air forecast to remain over the area.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1010 PM MDT Tue Sep 24 2024

KGLD...VFR conditions will occur through the period. A light and
variable wind at taf issuance will continue through 20z,
becoming southeasterly at speeds up to 10kts from 21z through
the rest of the taf period.

KMCK...VFR conditions will occur through the period with light
and variable winds.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vincent
LONG TERM...KAK
AVIATION...99