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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
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944 FXUS64 KMAF 190520 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1220 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2019 .DISCUSSION... See 06Z aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions and light southeast winds will continue the next 24 hours. TS will increase from that seen Wednesday but still not enough to mention in the TAFs though storms may approach CNM/HOB/PEQ. Hennig && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 217 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2019/ DISCUSSION... The heat is on this afternoon as temperatures have warmed well into the 90`s at most locations. The record high at Midland Intl is 98 degrees and is very possible we could tie that today. It looks like one more fairly quiet day before we see a more active weather pattern over the next week. Scattered showers and storms over the higher terrain and adjacent plains this afternoon will become more numerous and spread east by late week. This will occur as a more well-defined shortwave deepens an upper trough to our west. Increasing lift will spread over the region to help enhance thunderstorm chances Thursday into this weekend. There will be a potential for locally heavy rainfall as low level moisture moves back in from the Gulf across the area. Temperatures are expected to remain above normal through the current forecast cycle with slightly cooler temperatures only expected if we see some clouds and rain. We are still watching a potentially large storm system that will dig to our west next week. There is still much disagreement with regard to what will happen with this system, but quite a few ensemble members are suggesting a more western track. This would keep most of the rain to our west, but it is way to early to tell so stay tuned! && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 70 92 71 90 / 30 30 20 30 Carlsbad 68 93 68 91 / 40 30 30 40 Dryden 74 96 73 95 / 10 20 10 10 Fort Stockton 70 92 70 90 / 20 30 30 40 Guadalupe Pass 64 84 64 82 / 30 30 40 40 Hobbs 66 89 67 87 / 40 30 40 50 Marfa 61 88 62 86 / 20 50 40 60 Midland Intl Airport 70 92 71 90 / 30 30 20 30 Odessa 70 93 71 90 / 30 30 20 40 Wink 71 95 71 92 / 30 30 30 50 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && $$ 99/99/10
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