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000
FXUS63 KDLH 230533
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1233 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 700 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE COOLER NW FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING FALLING MID LEVEL TEMPS AND
PROMOTE STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRATO-CU WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE THE NORTHLAND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS WILL SHIFT INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NW WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL LIFT
INTO SOUTHERN ALBERTA AND SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH OR OCCLUDED
FRONT...WHICH WILL EXTEND TO THE SE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...WILL
APPROACH AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHLAND LATER THIS WEEK. THIS WILL
PROVIDE THE NORTHLAND WITH LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. THE UPPER LOW WILL LIKELY MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHLAND
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND CONTINUE TO PROVIDE LOW
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.

THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES AND PROVIDE THE NORTHLAND WITH DRY WEATHER FOR
THE EARLY AND MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AS A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE SETTLES OVER THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  53  75  58  75 /   0   0  20  30
INL  47  78  56  77 /   0   0  30  30
BRD  54  78  63  78 /   0  20  30  40
HYR  48  78  58  77 /   0   0  20  20
ASX  48  76  55  75 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LE
LONG TERM...GROCHOCINSKI
AVIATION...GRANING/MELDE