Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FXUS63 KLSX 281635

1135 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2014

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Late This Afternoon)
Issued at 243 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2014

Upper low to our northwest will open into a wave as it passes
overhead today. Will see an increase in diurnal clouds due to
colder temperatures aloft and a few of the convective allowing
models are printing out some isolated showers/sprinkles across
parts of central Missouri and perhaps the eastern Ozarks. Have
added a chance of sprinkles to account for this chance. Otherwise,
continued mild conditions with highs in the lower to middle 80s.


.LONG TERM:  (Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 243 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2014

Forecast remains unchanged with the tranquil weather pattern
coming to an end by the later half of the work week. The upper level
trof across the western CONUS is still progged to edge east
bringing unsettled conditions to the CWA, with several periods of
showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will remain mild ahead of
the front through Thursday night. Have stayed close to model
consensus for post frontal temperatures with highs in the 60s and
lows in the 40s.



.AVIATION:  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2014

Upper low over the region will weaken and move southeast allowing
for some weak northwest flow over the area into early next week.
Skight chance for a light shower this afternoon primarily over the
Ozarks region but nothing worth putting in the COU TAF. Surface
high pressure will keep the sly mostly clear with light winds into
Monday. Some fog in the river valleys will be possible again
overnight, affecting SUS and CPS.

Specifics for KSTL: Light winds and little cloud cover will lead to a
contined VFR forecast.





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