Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
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173 FXUS64 KEWX 252338 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 638 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 158 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Low clouds have dissipated across South Central Texas early this afternoon leaving mostly clear skies and hot temperatures on deck for this afternoon. The dryline remains to the west of Val Verde County, but may make it into its western reaches later today. Hot and humid conditions are seen ahead of this with afternoon highs from the mid 90s to around 107 degrees. Heat indices will be in excess of 108 degrees for the majority of areas today as elevated dewpoints continue this afternoon. Only the Hill Country remains without a Heat Advisory today as heat indices look to remain at or below 106 degrees for them. Dry weather continues as it looks like storms will fire off north of the area today. Another night of warm overnight lows is seen with temperatures early Sunday morning expected to be in the 70s to low 80s. Low clouds also build in overnight that look to mix out around noon tomorrow. Dangerous early season heat continues tomorrow. The dryline will push much further east into the area than today, which will keep heat indices lower in the west. That said, ambient temperatures will still push into the 100-109 degree range over this area. East of the dryline, heat index values will once again exceed 108 degrees in all locations but the Hill Country and another Heat Advisory is expected. Slightly less cloud cover Sunday night into Monday may lead to slightly "cooler" lows this period for some. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 158 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 There are a couple of disturbances pushing over South Central Texas late Monday afternoon into the evening that could trigger isolated to scattered showers and storms across the Rio Grande and over parts of the Hill Country. Some of these storms could be strong to marginally severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging wind gusts. Convective initiation is expected later in the day as daily high temperatures reach the upper 90s and up to 109 degrees along the Rio Grande. A Heat Advisory is likely to be in effect for a good portion of the local area. Tuesday is looking cooler based on cloud coverage across the local area with highs in the low to mid 90s for the most part and upper 90s along the Rio Grande. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast once again late Tuesday afternoon into the evening period as a short wave trough moves across central Texas. Some of these storms could be strong to marginally severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging wind gusts. Wednesday continues to be "cooler" with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s and up to 101 degrees over some locations along the Rio Grande. An approaching cold front pushing south over central Texas may trigger some showers and storms ahead of it over the Hill Country. Chances for showers and storms continue into the latter part of the week as upper level short waves move over or nearby South Central Texas. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 623 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through the evening. Winds will be from the southeast and gusts up to 25 kts this evening in the Austin and San Antonio areas. MVFR ceilings will develop after midnight in Austin and San Antonio and last until around noon Sunday. && .CLIMATE... (RECORD HIGHS THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY) Issued at 219 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024 SAT SUN MON 05/25 05/26 05/27 -------------------------------------- AUS 100/2011 97/2018 100/2011 ATT 100/2011 99/2018 100/2011 SAT 103/1989 100/1989 100/2011 DRT 104/2011 106/2018 106/2018 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 77 98 75 99 / 0 10 0 10 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 77 97 74 99 / 0 10 10 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 77 100 74 100 / 0 10 10 10 Burnet Muni Airport 74 97 72 97 / 10 0 0 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 82 110 74 109 / 10 0 0 10 Georgetown Muni Airport 76 96 72 98 / 10 10 0 10 Hondo Muni Airport 77 103 72 104 / 0 0 10 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 77 99 74 100 / 0 10 10 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 78 96 76 97 / 0 10 0 10 San Antonio Intl Airport 77 99 76 101 / 0 0 10 10 Stinson Muni Airport 78 101 77 102 / 0 0 10 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Atascosa-Bastrop- Bexar-Caldwell-Comal-De Witt-Dimmit-Fayette-Frio-Gonzales-Guadalupe- Hays-Karnes-Kinney-Lavaca-Lee-Maverick-Medina-Travis-Uvalde-Val Verde-Williamson-Wilson-Zavala. && $$ Short-Term...27 Long-Term...17 Aviation...05