Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FXUS63 KUNR 192333
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
533 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 213 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

UPPER RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A DOMINATE INFLUENCE OF THE
WEATHER TONIGHT AND MONDAY. UPPER RIDGING WILL SIT OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS AND NRN PLAINS...KEEPING DRY WEATHER AND HARDLY EVEN A CLOUD
IN THE SKY. RETURN FLOW CONTINUES WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION INTO
MONDAY. MIN TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT...IN THE
UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO
UPPER 70S. S/SELY WINDS AT 10-15KT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WRN SD
PLAINS.


&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
ISSUED AT 213 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH SW FLOW
ALOFT RETURNING. WITH THERMAL RIDGE OVERHEAD...VERY WARM TEMPS
EXPECTED NEAR 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. UPPER TROF THEN SLIDES
THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY...WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
UPPER RIDGE REBUILDS ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND...RESULTING IN TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE. WITH
CLOUDS/SHOWERS...WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 532 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...JOHNSON
AVIATION...JC





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