000
FXUS63 KDLH 122342
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
642 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

.AVIATION...00Z TAFS

VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH CEILINGS OF
HIGH CLOUDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. THE GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THURSDAY...BUT PRIND
ARE THAT IT SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

AT 330 PM...QUIET WEATHER WAS FOUND ACROSS THE NORTHLAND. FURTHER
SOUTH OF OUR AREA IT IS SHAPING UP TO BE AN EXTREMELY BUSY NIGHT.
THERE WERE A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON AND IT LOOKS LIKE THEY COULD LINGER INTO THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM 81 AT THE DULUTH AND SUPERIOR AIRPORTS TO
64 AT SKY HARBOR AIRPORT. THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION WAS IN THE
70S WITH FAIRLY LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS.

BASED ON CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND HIGH RESOLUTION FORECASTS...WILL
HANG ON TO SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS INTO THE EVENING ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTH. COULD BE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS IN PORTIONS OF NW WI...BUT
AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT WITH HIGH CLOUD BASES. CLOUDS WERE
FAIRLY CHAOTIC THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME CU IN THE NORTH AND ALSO
SOME HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SYSTEM EVOLVING TO THE SOUTH. WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WE SHOULD SEE A DECREASE IN THE LOW LEVEL
CU FIELD...WHILE SOME HIGHER CLOUDS COULD PREVAIL. A BIT THICKER
LOW LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN ONTARIO COULD MOVE A BIT INTO THE
ARROWHEAD OVERNIGHT AS IT DROPS SOUTHEAST.

THURSDAY SHOULD BE A DRY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION. WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST...IT SHOULD COOL IN
THE ARROWHEAD...TWIN PORTS AND PORTIONS OF NW WI...BUT TEMPS
SHOULD STILL BE WELL INTO THE 70S FOR MOST INLAND LOCATIONS.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE REGION BECOMES PLACES IN A STRONG RETURN FLOW FRIDAY AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN. MODEL ARE SHOWING GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT STRONG VORT MAX BECOMES A CLOSED LOW OVER MANITOBA
FRIDAY NIGHT/SAT. THE LOW WILL SWEEP A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION
DURING THIS TIME...TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE
STACKED LOW WILL LINGER ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER/LAKE SUPERIOR
REGION SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...KEEPING A CHC FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND STORMS DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WITH SRLY WINDS RETURNS EARLY NEXT
WEEK...BRINGING INCREASING H85 TEMPS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.

&&

.POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  50  72  47  65 /   0   0   0  10
INL  46  76  49  75 /   0   0   0  20
BRD  53  75  50  75 /  20   0   0  30
HYR  50  78  44  76 /  10   0   0  10
ASX  46  70  43  68 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...MELDE