Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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FXUS63 KDVN 210912

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
312 AM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Issued at 310 AM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Patchy high clouds drifted across the area during the overnight
hours. A southwesterly breeze held temperatures up in the upper
30s to upper 40s.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

The main highlights of the short term forecast period are a
frontal passage today with strong winds and steady to falling

The front will push through the forecast area this morning,
accompanied by a 3-4mb pressure rise bubble. Strongest winds are
expected from 9 am into the early afternoon, with the northwest
counties favored for the highest gusts around 40 mph. Bufr
soundings indicate a few locations in the northwest could flirt
with advisory criteria for an hour or two, but for the most part,
winds are expected to stay a bit below criteria (sustained 30 mph
or gusts of 45 mph). Expect morning highs with temps falling off
slowly in the afternoon.

Tonight, the sky will clear with high pressure and a decreasing
wind. Lows will settle in the upper teens to low 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Little change in the long term forecast as the week looks to be
quiet across the area.  Overall weather for travel across the region
looks to be quiet. Temperatures will fluctuate this week as cooler
highs on Wednesday will lead to a warming trend as a shrtwv trof
advects through the flow on Friday.

Model inconsistency exists between the timing and the strength of
the H5 wave for Friday.  The timing of fropa and possible precip
associated with this wave is still uncertain.  What is certain is
that temperatures in the 50s look likely.  There is also a chance
for highs in the 60s much like yesterday.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

Southwest winds around 10 to 12 kts will continue overnight, as
an approaching cold front brings high clouds to the region. The
cold front will arrive in the mid morning hours Tuesday, as winds
switch to northwest and increase to 15 to 25 kts...with northeast
Iowa seeing winds up to 30 kts. At this time, low clouds are not
expected to form near or behind the front. After sunset Tuesday
evening, winds will decrease to around 10 kts.




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