265
FXUS64 KBRO 112315 AAA
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
615 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

High pressure over the West Coast and Eastern Gulf will hold a
mid-level disturbance over Deep South Texas into this weekend. A
llj associated with this disturbance brings breezy winds around
30 mph through the rest of this afternoon through Saturday
afternoon. Sea breeze showers are possible each afternoon into
Sunday (10-20%), but drop off to less than 10% come next week as a
front in Central CONUS teases out the disturbance. High pressure
over the Gulf will remain through midweek, maintaining mostly dry
conditions.

Expect a gradual warming trend through the period, with temperatures
remaining near-seasonal. Highs in the 90s and afternoon "feels like"
temperatures in the triple digits - as high as 110 Saturday along
northern stretches of I-69E - below Heat Advy criteria, but
maintains a Moderate (level 2 of 4) Heat Risk through much of the
period.

Increasing swell leaves a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents into this
weekend at local South Texas beaches.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the TAF cycle at
all TAF sites. While some low-level clouds are expected to move
over the region with the southeasterly flow, confidence is low on
MVFR conditions or lower lasting for a long period of time. Gusty
winds should being to subside over the next couple of hours and
southeasterly winds should remain light for the overnight hours.
However, around mid-morning winds could become gusty again with
some gusts up to 30 knots possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

A low-level jet associated with a tightened pressure gradient will
bring moderate to strong south-southeasterly flow along the coast
through Saturday. This may require Small Craft Exercise Caution
headlines for the Laguna Madre and nearshore Gulf waters. Otherwise,
expect slight to moderate seas and moderate southeasterly winds to
persist through next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             80  93  80  93 /   0  10  10  10
HARLINGEN               78  95  77  95 /   0  10  10  10
MCALLEN                 80  96  80  97 /   0  10   0  10
RIO GRANDE CITY         77  98  78  98 /   0  10   0  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      80  87  80  87 /  10  10  10  10
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     79  91  79  91 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...69
LONG TERM....69
AVIATION...64-Katz