Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX

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FXUS64 KBRO 232045
AFDBRO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
245 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...A NICE...AND DRYER DAY
TODAY ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE WARMING INTO THE MID 80S
AMID DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 50S TO UPPER 40S AND A LIGHT SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST BREEZE. A TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS IS NUDGING
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE EASTWARD THAT WILL SEND A FRONT THROUGH
TONIGHT.

TONIGHT...THE FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AND
WILL NOT BE MARKED BY ANOTHER MODEST DRYING. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW 50S NORTH...MID TO UPPER 50S SOUTH
WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. AT LEAST SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE
TONIGHT BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES BUT MOST OF THAT SHOULD BE CLEARED
OUT BEFORE THE AM COMMUTE.

MONDAY...A COOL NORTH BREEZE WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE 70 DEGREES. CLOUD
COVER SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER
SOUTH AWAY FROM THE REGION.

MONDAY NIGHT...WITH WIND SPEEDS FALLING OFF IN THE EVENING AND ONLY
A FEW HIGH AND MIDDLE CLOUDS A COOL NIGHT IS FORECAST WITH LOWS IN
THE MID 40S NORTH...AND AROUND 50 TO 53 IN THE RGV METRO AREAS.
/68-JGG/

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...500MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ACROSS WEST TEXAS TUESDAY WILL SWING EASTWARD WEDNESDAY AND THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST. AT THE SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES
SETTLES INTO SOUTH TX IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PROVIDE SUBSIDENCE ACROSS
SOUTH TX WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY BEFORE A WEAK 500MB TROUGH
DEVELOPS ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO/WEST TX THURSDAY. THE SURFACE
RIDGE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ALLOWING AN ONSHORE FLOW TO DEVELOP
THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND. A FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER
OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WARM AND
RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY AS A RESULT.
&&

.MARINE...
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
THIS AFTERNOON ON THE OFFSHORE WATERS DUE TO RESIDUAL ROUGH SEAS.
OTHERWISE LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST
TONIGHT. LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING A FRONT WILL SWEEP
ACROSS THE COAST. STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL ROUGHEN SEAS AND A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS OF
THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ROUGH SEAS WILL
BECOME MORE MODERATE MONDAY NIGHT AS WIND SPEEDS DECREASE.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MODERATE TO STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS PROVIDES A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED FOR
THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF THE LOWER TEXAS COAST TUESDAY AS A RESULT.THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES
ACROSS THE TEXAS COAST. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WEDNESDAY WILL
VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST THURSDAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES
EASTWARD. LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS A RESULT.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  58  72  55  71 /   0   0   0  10
BROWNSVILLE          57  73  54  72 /   0   0   0  10
HARLINGEN            55  72  51  72 /   0   0   0  10
MCALLEN              56  73  52  72 /   0   0   0  10
RIO GRANDE CITY      53  72  48  71 /   0   0   0  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   66  72  61  71 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

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