386
FXUS64 KBRO 111744
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1244 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

High pressure over the West Coast and Eastern Gulf will hold a
mid-level disturbance over Deep South Texas into this weekend. A
llj associated with this disturbance brings breezy winds around
30 mph through the rest of this afternoon through Saturday
afternoon. Sea breeze showers are possible each afternoon into
Sunday (10-20%), but drop off to less than 10% come next week as a
front in Central CONUS teases out the disturbance. High pressure
over the Gulf will remain through midweek, maintaining mostly dry
conditions.

Expect a gradual warming trend through the period, with temperatures
remaining near-seasonal. Highs in the 90s and afternoon "feels like"
temperatures in the triple digits - as high as 110 Saturday along
northern stretches of I-69E - below Heat Advy criteria, but
maintains a Moderate (level 2 of 4) Heat Risk through much of the
period.

Increasing swell leaves a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents into this
weekend at local South Texas beaches.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

South-southeasterly winds gusting up to 30 kts will continue through
Friday afternoon. Primarily VFR through this cycle, but brief
periods of MVFR are possible around sunrise.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

A low-level jet associated with a tightened pressure gradient will
bring moderate to strong south-southeasterly flow along the coast
through Saturday. This may require Small Craft Exercise Caution
headlines for the Laguna Madre and nearshore Gulf waters. Otherwise,
expect slight to moderate seas and moderate southeasterly winds to
persist through next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             92  80  92  80 /  10   0  10   0
HARLINGEN               94  78  95  77 /  10   0  10   0
MCALLEN                 96  80  96  80 /  10   0  10   0
RIO GRANDE CITY         96  77  97  78 /  10   0   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      87  81  87  80 /   0   0   0   0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     91  78  91  79 /  10   0  10   0

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...69-HK
LONG TERM....69-HK
AVIATION...69-HK