Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX

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FXUS64 KBRO 281752 AAC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service BROWNSVILLE TX
1252 PM CDT Wed Sep 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest /18Z/ aviation discussion below.


.AVIATION...Generally a quiet forecast for the next 24 hours, but
there may be a few items to watch for particularly at
Brownsville/South Padre Island Int`l Airport. Mainly VFR ceilings
continue over all areas this afternoon with a few brief periods of
MVFR, again mainly at Brownsville. Those clouds should dissipate
initially, but concern for mid to late afternoon is potential for
some shower development in still soupy air mass in southeast
Cameron County. For this reason, elected to include a TEMPO group
for MVFR visibility in showers as temperatures rise but remain
shy of convective trigger temperatures. Otherwise, expect a tad
more stable air farther inland, including Harlingen, so kept at
VCSH for the afternoon to account for any rogue activity east of
the field.

Otherwise, drier surface air filtering into the mid Valley enough
to preclude any precipitation mention for McAllen for the rest of
the afternoon. For the overnight, maintained the pesky mid decks
and kept mentionable rain out of Brownsville, and scattered out
the clouds by mid morning in McAllen and at some point before noon
farther east as deeper dry air currently producing partly to
mostly sunny skies across the ranchlands eases in. Light north
winds dominate the surface through the period.




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