


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
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734 FXUS64 KBRO 130327 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1027 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1025 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 An area of high pressure over the Gulf will expand over Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. This will keep rain chances very low (less than 10%). However, a stray shower or thunderstorm with the afternoon seabreeze still remains possible. Southeasterly winds are expected to persist over the region through the forecast periods with winds gusting up to 25 mph possible for mostly the Valley and right along the coast. As for temperatures, the low temperatures are generally expected to be in the 70s for most of Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. However a few locations for the extreme Southern parts of the CWA could approach the 80s. The high temperatures are expected to generally be in the 90s, however a few places in Starr and Zapata counties could be in the triple digits. The heat risk for the forecast period will mostly be moderate (level 2 of 4) for the region. The heat indices are expected to be in the range of 105-108 and thus below Heat Advisory criteria. However it is still important to practice heat safety to prevent any heat-related illnesses. Increasing swell affecting the Lower Texas coast will allow for moderate risk of rip current for the next several days. Be careful if venturing into the water and remember rip currents are highest near piers and jetties. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 625 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 VFR conditions are expected to last several more hours through the evening and early overnight hours. However, with the southeasterly flow over the region, low-level clouds are likely to move in, resulting in MVFR conditions for the rest of the overnight hours. VFR conditions should return during the morning hours as southeasterly winds start to gust up to 25 knots. && .MARINE... Issued at 1025 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 Generally favorable conditions are expected with light to moderate southeasterly winds and slight to moderate seas. High pressure over the Lower Texas coast will keep rain chances to a minimum through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 80 93 79 93 / 0 0 0 10 HARLINGEN 78 96 77 95 / 0 10 0 10 MCALLEN 80 97 80 97 / 0 10 0 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 78 98 77 97 / 10 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 80 87 80 87 / 0 0 0 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 79 92 79 92 / 0 0 0 10 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...64-Katz LONG TERM....64-Katz AVIATION...64