125
FXUS64 KBRO 150315
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1015 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1012 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Dry conditions are likely to persist across all of deep south Texas
and the RGV for the remainder of tonight as well as through next
Tuesday as mid-level ridging continues overhead. Partly cloudy to
mostly cloudy skies Tuesday become mainly sunny each day, beginning
Wednesday, as subsidence aloft enhances from a low pressure system
to our northeast, which may move into the central Gulf states later
this week. Average temperatures and drier than average PWAT values
continue Wednesday through Friday, with inland afternoon highs in
the mid to upper 90`s while portions of the Rio Grande Plains soar
to near, or slightly above, 100 degrees and highs at the beaches
reach into the mid-80`s. Throughout the weekend, a slight warming
trend is expected, with high temperatures gradually warming to
mostly the upper 90s inland and possibly widespread lower 100`s
near, and west of, US 281 and I-69 C by Sunday, lasting into
Tuesday. Daily afternoon heat indices of 100-110 degrees are
expected, potentially briefly surpassing 110 degrees in a few
locations over the weekend and into next week as the low pressure
system moves inland and lower level moisture increases. Near
average overnight lows continue, with temperatures falling to the
70s inland and to near 80 degrees across portions of the RGV and
along the coast.

A moderate risk for rip currents continues into Tuesday along the
lower Texas beaches.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 554 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Varying cloud coverage, cloud height and winds have been observed
this evening at KBRO, which may continue through sunset as breezy
southeasterly winds advect higher moisture content off the Gulf
inland, resulting in cloud streaks and brief periods of MVFR
ceilings. Overnight, southeasterly winds settle down to a gentle
breeze at all sites. Periods of MVFR ceilings are possible at
KBRO and KHRL earlier tonight and towards sunrise at KMFE, noted
in the TEMPO`s. VFR conditions return throughout Tuesday morning,
with breezy southeasterly winds returning by the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1012 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Gentle to moderate southeasterly to southerly winds and slight to
moderate (2-3 feet) seas prevail into the beginning of next week.
Brief afternoon periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions
are possible across the Laguna Madre as moderate to fresh winds
result from a locally enhanced pressure gradient. Mostly dry
conditions are likely to persist.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             79  93  79  93 /  10   0   0   0
HARLINGEN               77  96  77  96 /  10  10   0   0
MCALLEN                 80  97  80  98 /   0  10   0   0
RIO GRANDE CITY         78  97  77 100 /  10  10   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      80  87  80  87 /  10   0   0   0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     78  91  78  93 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...65-Irish
LONG TERM....65-Irish
AVIATION...65-Irish