


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
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111 FXUS64 KBRO 091725 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1225 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1222 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 - Unsettled weather returns for the weekend. - Saharan dust will lead to hazy conditions Wednesday to Friday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1222 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 Rain chances will continue today (20-30%) becoming more scattered this afternoon along the sea breeze, though most activity will remain east of US-281. PWATs remain between 1.75 and 2 inches across Deep South Texas, so any convection that develops could lead to locally heavy rainfall along with gusty winds and cloud to ground lightning. There will be a brief drying out for Thursday and Friday, though sea breeze convection is still possible but remains under a 15% chance. As mentioned in the previous discussion, the forecast is trending to wetter as we head into the weekend. Rain chances will be greatest on Saturday with a 20-30% chance as broad low pressure lingers across the western portion of the CWA into northeastern Mexico. By Monday, high pressure builds back in with dry conditions anticipated. A plume of Saharan Dust is just southeast of the BRO CWA as of this discussion and while we are seeing some haze now, conditions are expected to become hazier later this afternoon and linger into Thursday night. Temperatures will remain warm through the period with highs in the mid to upper 90s and heat indices between 100-110 degrees. Heat Risk will remain Minor to Moderate across much of Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley into next week. If spending a prolonged period of time outdoors, remember to practice heat safety to prevent heat- related illnesses. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 VFR conditions will prevail all all aerodromes through the TAF period. Southeasterly winds will gust to around 25 kts through this afternoon before becoming light this evening. There could be a few isolated showers or thunderstorms through this afternoon that could briefly lead to gusty winds, cloud to ground lightning, brief heavy rainfall and briefly reduce visibilities. && .MARINE... Issued at 1222 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 Generally favorable marine conditions are expected through much of the week. Saharan dust has begun moving into the coastal waters by which will lead to hazy conditions through Thursday night. By Thursday afternoon, a slightly enhanced pressure gradient could lead to Small Craft Caution as winds increase to 15-20 kts, especially on the Laguna Madre, through the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 78 91 78 92 / 10 10 0 10 HARLINGEN 75 93 76 94 / 0 10 0 10 MCALLEN 77 95 78 95 / 0 10 0 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 75 95 76 96 / 10 10 0 10 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 79 86 80 86 / 10 10 10 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 77 90 78 90 / 10 10 0 10 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/MARINE/AVIATION...68