Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 200837

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
337 AM CDT Thu Oct 20 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 318 AM CDT Thu Oct 20 2016

Cold front is making its way southeast across the Ohio River
early this morning. Post-frontal showers and isolated
thunderstorms were in progress over portions of southeast
MO/southern IL, and this activity will spread southeast as the
day progresses. Many locations along and southeast of the Ohio
River will see maximum temperatures early today, with readings
falling off to near 60 behind the front.

Most of the shower activity will push southeast of the region by
tonight as high pressure nudges east toward MS River Valley.
Temperatures will remain well below normal despite a likely
return to some sunshine. In fact, some locations up along the I-64
corridor may dip into the upper 30s Friday night under clear skies
and light winds.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 318 AM CDT Thu Oct 20 2016

Confidence in the extended portion of the forecast is fairly high
due to good model agreement.

An upper level ridge moves into the region Saturday. With strong
northwest flow, high temperatures Saturday will be cooler than
normal with readings in the mid 60s.

From Sunday through the early part of Wednesday, high pressure at
the surface will define our weather with southwest winds bringing
moderating temperatures. Northwest flow aloft will keep us dry. High
temperatures will warm back above normal with readings in the middle
70s. Overnight lows will warm a little each night with readings by
Wednesday morning in the lower to middle 50s.

High pressure will move off to the east by midweek allowing a cold
front to approach the region. This will bring a chance of showers
and thunderstorms beginning Wednesday afternoon.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 318 AM CDT Thu Oct 20 2016

Will likely see IFR cigs move into the region this morning behind
a cold front pushing southeast across the Ohio River. Post-frontal
showers and isolated thunderstorms will also be possible for much
of the morning hours. Due to lack of overall coverage, will leave
explicit mention of thunder out of the TAF for now. Cigs expected
to rise into the MVFR category this afternoon, with clearing after





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