Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 201121
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
621 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.UPDATE...
12Z Aviation forecast below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions today with high cirrus streaming across western and
southern areas. Patchy stratus may try and develop along the edge of
the escarpment early Sunday morning as a shallow moisture return
takes place. Can`t rule out some brief IFR or MVFR broken ceilings
09Z-15Z Sunday from SAT-BAZ-AUS, but confidence is currently low.
Wind light and variable this morning at AUS/SAT/SSF, becoming S to
SE around 8-12 kts after 15Z. An ESE winds around 8 kts at DRT will
become SE around 15 kts, with gusts 20-25 kts, after 15Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019/

SHORT TERM (Today through Sunday)...
Another pleasant day in store today as high pressure ridging glides
across Texas. Slightly warmer today with highs in the low to mid 80s
and lows tonight in the upper 50s across the region. Winds will turn
back out of the south today and moisture returns by Sunday. Similar
conditions are expected on Sunday with fair skies and mild
temperatures.

LONG TERM (Sunday Night through Friday)...
The clouds return on Monday and by Tuesday night rain chances are
back in the forecast as deepening trough axis approaches from the
west. As the trough progresses eastward, widespread rain chances on
Wednesday for much of South Central Texas. The models have
consistently painted varying degrees of higher QPF amounts over the
area, so chances for potentially locally heavy rain are increasing.
It is still too soon to pinpoint where where these pockets of locally
heavy rain will fall and amounts. Models have trended a quicker
progression of the trough so rain chances should clear by Thursday
with only residual showers in our eastern counties. By the end of the
week, clear and dry weather returns in time for the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              82  59  83  63  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  81  57  82  61  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     82  57  83  61  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            81  58  82  61  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           88  61  88  64  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        81  58  82  61  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             86  57  87  62  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        82  57  83  60  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   81  57  82  62  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       83  59  84  63  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           83  59  84  63  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

Aviation...Runyen
Short-Term/Long-Term...YB


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