Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 130906
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
406 AM CDT Sun Oct 13 2019

.SHORT TERM (Today through Monday)...
A weak trough is moving across the area early this morning, resulting
in scattered light showers generally along and north of I-10. The
trough will continue to move east and the showers should exit the
area by 15Z. Otherwise, expect a warming/moistening trend today into
Monday as moist Gulf flow returns to the area. High temperatures
today will be about 10F higher than Saturday, and Monday`s highs
about another 7-9F warmer -- putting most locations in the upper
80s.

&&

.LONG TERM (Monday Night through Saturday)...
A more substantial trough and associated cold front will move
through the area on Tuesday. Morning streamer showers are possible,
especially over the coastal plains, followed by isolated
thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon due to diurnal heating pushing
temperatures into the 90s. The best chances for rain will be Tuesday
evening as the cold front arrives and pushes a line of showers and
thunderstorms generally from north to south across the area.
Additional light rain is expected on Wednesday as moist Gulf air
flows up and over the near-surface cool air. Total rainfall amounts
for the entire event should range from 1/4 to 1/2 inch, with a few
spots on the coastal plains possibly seeing one inch.

Weak ridging will build back into the area on Thursday, resulting in
a return of above normal temperatures into the weekend. Models show
a pattern change across the CONUS coming, with high-amplitude
troughs and ridges. The first of these troughs will bring a chance of
rain next Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              78  66  86  73  91 /  10  10  30  20  40
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  78  65  86  72  92 /  10  10  30  20  40
New Braunfels Muni Airport     79  66  88  72  92 /  -   10  30  10  30
Burnet Muni Airport            77  62  83  70  88 /  20  10  30  20  40
Del Rio Intl Airport           82  65  91  72  94 /  -   -    0  20  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        77  64  84  71  89 /  20  10  20  20  40
Hondo Muni Airport             82  66  92  72  96 /   0  -   -   20  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        79  65  87  72  92 /  -   10  30  10  30
La Grange - Fayette Regional   80  67  88  74  92 /  -   10  30  20  30
San Antonio Intl Airport       79  68  88  74  94 /   0  10  20  10  20
Stinson Muni Airport           79  69  89  74  94 /   0  10  20  10  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Aviation...05
Short-Term/Long-Term...Zeitler


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