Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 272235 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
535 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

A QUIET PD IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 48 HRS WITH NO REAL CONCERNS
OUTSIDE OF WHEN LIGHT N FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO S FLOW EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING AT THE MAJOR AIRPORTS.

SCT-BKN CIRRUS SHOULD CONTINUE TO STREAM SOUTHEAST WITHIN DRY NW
FLOW ALOFT OVER NORTH TX. SPORDIC MID LVL DECKS MAY DEVELOP WITH A
SHORTWAVE LATER SATURDAY MORNING...BUT LOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN DRY
WITH NO STRATUS OR PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

OTHERWISE AT THE SURFACE...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST
ACROSS THE MS VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LIGHT E/NE WINDS
THIS EVENING WILL BECOME LIGHT SE OVERNIGHT...THEN SOUTHERLY
10-15 KTS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

05/

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA IN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THESE CLOUDS ARE GENERALLY
THIN EXCEPT ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN ZONES. THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL GIVE WAY TO A MORE ZONAL FLOW SUNDAY AS THE UPPER
RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. BREAKS DOWN WHILE THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM MICHIGAN TO
LOUISIANA MOVES EASTWARD. AFTER SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY MORNING...WE WILL HAVE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE IN THE MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT ALONG WITH
A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF US-287 AND I-20 SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN TWO-
THIRDS OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY.

ALTHOUGH THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON THEIR SOLUTIONS IN THE
EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AREA WIDE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL SHIFT TO ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35
CORRIDOR WEDNESDAY AND EAST OF I-35 THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVES EAST.

58

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  48  81  57  85  62 /   5  10   0   5  10
WACO, TX              46  84  58  85  63 /   0   5   0   5   5
PARIS, TX             43  73  50  79  57 /  10  10   0  10  40
DENTON, TX            45  81  54  84  60 /   5  10   0   5  20
MCKINNEY, TX          42  78  53  82  60 /   5  10   0  10  20
DALLAS, TX            50  80  59  84  62 /   5  10   0   5  10
TERRELL, TX           44  77  55  83  61 /   5  10   0  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         47  78  59  82  63 /   5   5   0   5  10
TEMPLE, TX            49  82  58  84  61 /   0   5   0   5   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     46  86  54  88  58 /   5   5   0   5  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

05/58


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