Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 092333
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
533 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFs/

No concerns with clear skies and VFR conditions expected tonight
through Sunday evening, as dry northwest flow aloft maintains
over the area. An occasional, brief streak of cirrus is possible,
but otherwise low levels remain very dry with no precipitation
expected.

Northwest winds 10 knots or less, will become light west or
southwest after midnight 3-5 knots. West-southwest winds will
increase to around 10 knots by Sunday afternoon, as warming allows
slightly stronger boundary layer winds to mix to the surface.

05/

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 254 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017/
Temperatures managed to warm into the 50s and lower 60s this
afternoon under full sun and a bit of compressional warming. The
breezy northwest winds this afternoon will quickly decrease once
the boundary layer decouples late this afternoon. A light, mainly
west, wind tonight coupled with a clear sky and dry air will
result in another cold night with lows near or slightly below
freezing.

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 254 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017/
A highly amplified pattern will remain in place through early
next week with a persistent ridge across the western U.S. and
a deep trough across the eastern two thirds of the country.
Therefore, the weather across North and Central Texas will be
quite tranquil with dry northwest flow aloft and very little
moisture through a deep layer of the atmosphere. A sunny sky and a
westerly wind will yield mild temperatures Sunday and Monday with
highs in the 60s and lower 70s Sunday and lower and middle 70s
Monday. Since it will be dry, clear and calm, overnight lows will
still fall into the 30s in most locations.

A shortwave will move across the Northern and Central Plains
Monday/Monday night and send a cold front into the region. The
front will bring cooler, drier and breezy conditions Tuesday with
afternoon highs ranging from the middle 50s to the lower 60s and
lows in the 30s.

The upper ridge in the west will begin to break down the second
half of the week and reestablish itself off the West Coast on the
weekend. This will allow a long wave trough to move across the
western states with another weak cold front expected on Thursday.

Return flow is expected Friday ahead of another shortwave and
cold front. This will finally bring an increase in low level
moisture to the region Friday night/Saturday along with some low
rain chances late in the weekend when the cold front arrives.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    34  70  39  73  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                31  68  35  74  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               30  64  36  70  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              29  69  34  73  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            30  67  34  72  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              35  69  40  73  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             30  67  37  72  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           32  66  38  73  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              30  68  36  73  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       30  71  35  73  36 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

05/26



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