Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 140409 AAE
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1109 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

.UPDATE...
NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 78 WILL INCLUDE AREAS EAST OF A
PARIS TO TERRELL TO GUN BARREL CITY LINE THROUGH 6 AM. THIS
REPLACES WATCH 76 AND REMOVES FANNIN COUNTY.

75

&&

.AVIATION...
THE PRIMARY AVIATION WEATHER CONCERN THIS EVENING WILL TIMING THE
COLD FRONT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STORMS ALONG IT.

THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED NEAR A LINE FROM GUTHRIE TO WICHITA
FALLS TO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AT 7 PM. THE FRONT WAS MOVING
SOUTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH AND SHOULD REACH THE METROPLEX TAF SITES
BETWEEN 3 AND 4Z AND WACO A FEW HOURS LATER. A SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
WIND BETWEEN 14 AND 18 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 28 KNOTS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT AND
REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY. A THIN LINE OF STORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT. HOWEVER...THE BEST STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTHEAST OF THE
METROPLEX TAF SITES.

MVFR CEILINGS WILL FILTER IN A COUPLE OF HOURS AFTER FROPA AND
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE LOW CLOUDS WILL
EVENTUALLY SCATTER OUT MONDAY AFTERNOON.


&&


.PREV UPDATE...
.UPDATE...

WATCH 74 HAS EXPIRED.

WATCH 76...REMOVING ALL BUT FANNIN...LAMAR...HUNT...DELTA...
HOPKINS AND RAINS COUNTIES. CONVECTION REMAINS CONFINED TO THE
NORTHEAST COUNTIES AT LEAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT. STILL HAVE A CONCERN
ABOUT SCATTERED ACTIVITY DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

75

&&





.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  50  57  34  63  43 /  20  10   5   0   5
WACO, TX              54  59  34  64  39 /  40  20   5   0   5
PARIS, TX             49  51  30  60  38 /  60  20  10   0   5
DENTON, TX            45  54  30  63  39 /  20  10   5   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          48  55  31  62  38 /  40  10   5   0   5
DALLAS, TX            50  57  35  63  44 /  20  10   5   0   5
TERRELL, TX           52  56  32  62  38 /  20  20   5   0   5
CORSICANA, TX         54  56  34  62  40 /  40  20   5   0   5
TEMPLE, TX            55  60  35  64  38 /  30  20   5   0   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     44  56  31  64  38 /  10  10   5   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY FOR TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.


&&

$$

 /75





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