Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

563
FXUS64 KFWD 131250 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
650 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

.AVIATION...
ALTHOUGH SURFACE WINDS ARE STILL NORTHEASTERLY...THE 12Z KFWD
RAOB INDICATES THAT WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE HAVE ALREADY BECOME
SOUTHERLY. SATELLITE SHOWED WIDESPREAD STRATUS EXTENDING SOUTHEAST
OF A KSAT /SAN ANTONIO/ TO KCLL /COLLEGE STATION/ LINE...WITH SOME
PATCHES OF CLOUDS FARTHER NORTH INTO THE KT35 /CAMERON/ AND KLHB
/HEARNE/ AREAS. EXPECT SOME VFR CEILINGS TO WORK THEIR WAY INTO
THE WACO AREA MID TO LATE MORNING /15-17Z/ AND INTO THE METROPLEX
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON /18-21Z/. CEILINGS SHOULD LOWER INTO THE
MVFR CATEGORY BY MID EVENING /02-04Z/ AT ALL OF THE TAF SITES.

AS A SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EAST...LIGHT NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
BEFORE DAYBREAK WILL BECOME EASTERLY THIS MORNING AND
SOUTHEASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHERLY TONIGHT AND INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KNOTS. EXPECT SOME
GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS BY 17Z SUNDAY.

58

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016/
WITH THE RECENT COLD AIR ADVECTION....HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN THE PREVIOUS
DAYS...PUTTING TEMPS IN THE SEASONALLY NORMAL RANGE. THE UPPER
FLOW WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY WHICH WILL RESULT
IN SURFACE LEE TROUGHING AND THE RETURN OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREE WARMER...AROUND 50 DEGREES...DUE
TO THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER.

WITH THE MOISTURE ADVECTION SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EAST...WHEN A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE INTO THE REGION. MOST OF THE ENERGY FROM
THE SHORTWAVE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE RED RIVER...WITH VERY LITTLE
INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL END QUICKLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS DRIER AND COOLER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH.
QUIETER WEATHER AND A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE TUESDAY AS AN UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE 70S AND LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S THROUGH THE
WEEK.

78

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  62  51  65  49  66 /   0   5  20  40  30
WACO, TX              67  51  70  49  69 /   0  10  20  30  20
PARIS, TX             55  41  54  44  62 /   0   5  20  50  40
DENTON, TX            61  49  65  45  65 /   0   5  20  40  20
MCKINNEY, TX          59  49  63  47  64 /   0   5  20  50  30
DALLAS, TX            62  51  67  50  66 /   0   5  20  50  30
TERRELL, TX           61  49  64  49  65 /   0   5  20  50  40
CORSICANA, TX         64  51  69  52  68 /   0   5  20  40  40
TEMPLE, TX            67  51  70  50  71 /   0   5  20  20  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     65  50  69  45  67 /   0   5  10  30  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

58/78



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.