Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KFWD 200928
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
328 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE COOLER AIR WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
UNTIL AFTER CHRISTMAS. FAIRLY ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN A SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S.
PRODUCES LEE TROUGHING. SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO
CYCLOGENESIS IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND MONDAY WILL WARM UP
NICELY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 70S IN SOUTHWEST COUNTIES DECREASING
TO NEAR 60 IN THE NORTHEAST.

I HAVE ADDED LOW POPS TO THE NORTHWEST MONDAY EVENING DUE TO THE
NAM AND ECMWF BEING A BIT MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH PRECIPITATION. QPF
IS LIKELY TO BE LOW WITH THIS FAST MOVING SYSTEM AND PRECIP SHOULD
BE EAST OF THE CWA BY TUESDAY EVENING. WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL SEE
LOWS IN THE 30S...AND LOW LYING COOLER AREAS MAY GET BELOW
FREEZING. CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO WARM UP
INTO THE 50S/60S.

FAIR SKIES WILL CONTINUE CHRISTMAS MORNING AND ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL
INTO THE 30S NORTH/LOW 40S SOUTH. LEE CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS AGAIN IN
THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH AFTERNOON
GUSTS ABOVE 20 MPG. ANOTHER WARM DAY WILL RESULT...WITH SOME 70S
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH WITH 60S ALL THE WAY TO THE
RED RIVER.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS PROGGED FOR FRIDAY...ENTERING NORTHWEST
COUNTIES BEFORE NOON AND SWEEPING THROUGH THE AREA BY EVENING. NO
PRECIP IS EXPECTED DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE...BUT HIGHS IN THE 50S
NORTH/60S SOUTH ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE WEEKEND. 84

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1140 PM CST FRI DEC 19 2014/
A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDED FROM THE GREAT LAKES STATES SOUTHWEST
INTO THE HILL COUNTRY OF SOUTH TEXAS AS OF 11 PM CST. MOISTURE
REMAINS TRAPPED IN THE LOWER LEVELS WHICH WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS. SOME OF THE
COMPUTER MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT WE COULD SEE A BREAK OUT INTO
LOWER END VFR DURING THE 20/18Z THROUGH 21/03Z PERIOD. FOR NOW
HAVE INDICATED MVFR CONDITIONS LOWERING TO IFR BY 08Z...WITH AN
IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR 17-18Z SATURDAY. SOME IFR CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY RETURN AFTER 06Z SUNDAY.

58


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  51  42  55  46  65 /   5   5  10  10   5
WACO, TX              53  41  57  47  67 /   5   5  10   5   5
PARIS, TX             50  39  52  43  59 /   5   5  10  10  10
DENTON, TX            50  40  54  45  62 /   5   5  10  10   5
MCKINNEY, TX          50  40  53  44  62 /   5   5  10  10   5
DALLAS, TX            51  43  55  47  65 /   5   5  10  10   5
TERRELL, TX           51  42  55  46  62 /   5   5  10  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         53  42  57  47  64 /   5   5  10  10   5
TEMPLE, TX            53  42  58  46  68 /   5   5  10  10   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     52  38  56  43  67 /   5   5  10   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.