Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 031722
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1222 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR ALL AREA TAF SITES
THROUGH THIS FORECAT PERIOD....WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
8 KTS.

AJS

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 228 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2015/
A WEAK MID LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN ALONG THE TEXAS GULF COAST TODAY
AND RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY
DRIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS WHICH DO MANAGE TO REACH NORTH TEXAS WILL BE
BRIEF AND SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET.

UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE NORTH TEXAS THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AND RESULT IN HOT AND MAINLY RAIN-FREE WEATHER. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION WILL BE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IN THE SOUTHEAST
ZONES FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S WITH EVEN A FEW TRIPLE DIGIT
READINGS AROUND THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CONUS. MOST OF THE ENERGY WITH THIS TROUGH
WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...THE COLD FRONT IS
PROGGED BY BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS TO REACH THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA ON WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT AND A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY REACH THE
RED RIVER COUNTIES OF NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

BETTER RAIN/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL ARRIVE IN NORTH TEXAS
NEXT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN A SECONDARY UPPER TROUGH MOVES
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS AND ALLOWS THE COLD FRONT
TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION.

79



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  95  77  96  78  97 /   5   5   5   5  10
WACO, TX              94  76  95  76  97 /  10   5  10   5  10
PARIS, TX             95  73  95  73  96 /   5   5   5   5  10
DENTON, TX            95  75  95  76  98 /   5   5   5   5  10
MCKINNEY, TX          94  74  95  76  95 /   5   5   5   5  10
DALLAS, TX            95  78  96  79  97 /   5   5   5   5  10
TERRELL, TX           94  75  96  77  95 /   5   5   5   5  10
CORSICANA, TX         93  75  97  77  95 /  10   5  10  10  10
TEMPLE, TX            93  73  96  74  97 /  10   5  10  10  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     95  73  96  74  96 /   5   5   5   5  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$


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