Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 300840
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
340 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A SOMEWHAT COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN HAS SET UP ACROSS THE REGION.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A SHORTWAVE CAN BEEN SEEN TURNING OVER WEST
TEXAS...AS WELL AS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF OF THE MS/AL GULF
COAST. A THIRD DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED OVER SOUTHERN
IL/IN. ALL THE WHILE...THE INFAMOUS UPPER LEVEL HIGH HAS MOVED
OVER INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. AT THE SURFACE... NUMEROUS
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM YESTERDAY`S CONVECTION REMAIN
ACROSS THE AREA...AND THE BROAD SURFACE FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH
THE PLAINS WAS DRAPED ACROSS OKLAHOMA. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR NORTH
AND CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY IS A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. AS OF
830 Z /330 AM/...LIGHT SHOWERS WERE PRESENT SOUTHWEST OF THE DFW
METROPLEX. MOST MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING
EASTWARD AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS.
COVERAGE WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD AND AMOUNTS WILL BE FAIRLY LOW.
HOWEVER...IT WOULD STILL BE MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE FRONT ACROSS OKLAHOMA IS NOT EXPECTED
TO MAKE IT INTO OUR AREA. AT BEST...IT REACHES THE RED RIVER
BEFORE WASHING OUT.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS PART OF THE AREA RETURNS TUESDAY.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE CONFINED TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES THOUGH.
WHILE SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE HIGH HERE EITHER. OTHER THAN
TODAY AND TUESDAY...EXPECT A DRY FORECAST.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND LOWS IN
THE 70S.

AJS

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1152 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/
VFR WILL PREVAIL WITH MID-HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUING. SOME ELEVATED
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHANCE
OF ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. WILL INCLUDE VCSH FOR THE WACO
TAF THROUGH MID-MORNING. WHILE SOME ROBUST CONVECTION...INCLUDING
A THREAT FOR THUNDER...IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON...THE THREAT FOR THIS IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE
FORECAST. OTHERWISE SOUTH LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL.

TR.92


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  97  75  98  76  93 /  10  10   0   0  10
WACO, TX              93  73  95  73  93 /  20   5   0   5  20
PARIS, TX             94  71  94  70  92 /  10  10   5   5  10
DENTON, TX            95  72  95  73  93 /  10  10   0   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          93  72  95  73  92 /  10  10   0   0  10
DALLAS, TX            96  76  96  77  93 /  10  10   0   0  10
TERRELL, TX           94  71  94  72  92 /  20  10   5   5  10
CORSICANA, TX         93  73  95  74  92 /  20  10   5   5  20
TEMPLE, TX            94  71  97  72  92 /  20   5   5   5  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     96  70  96  71  94 /  10   5   0   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$


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