Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 021941
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
241 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SOME REMNANT CONVECTION THAT ORIGINATED IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
YESTERDAY MADE ITS WAY SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS...BUT THEN
DIED OUT JUST BEFORE MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF
THE CWA. THERE STILL REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS REMAINING VORTICITY. MOST OF
THE STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HIGHER BASED. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS DRY SO WENT WITH SOME LOW POPS AND NO QPF.

ELSEWHERE...IT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
CONTINUES TO HOLD TIGHT. THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER TEXAS THROUGH
MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT AND GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH UNDER THE RIDGE.

MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE BREAKING DOWN AT SOME POINT MID NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TO INCREASE AND
TEMPERATURES COOL SLIGHTLY. HOWEVER...HAVE LEFT PRECIPITATION OUT OF
THE FORECAST AT THIS POINT DUE TO NO MODEL AGREEMENT OR CONFIDENCE
OF TIMING THAT FAR OUT.

78/JG

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1243 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015/
/18Z TAFS/

NO CONCERNS. VFR AND SSE FLOW 10 KTS OR LESS TO PREVAIL THROUGH
MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

AN UPPER HIGH ALOFT WILL KEEP THE AIRPORTS UNDERNEATH SUBSIDENCE
WITH JUST OCCASIONAL SCATTERED CU AND HIGH CLOUDS. ANY ISOLATED
-SHRA/-TSRA SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN MOIST PLUME FURTHER WEST. THOUGH
SOME SPOTTY MVFR IS POSSIBLE AFTER 12Z WEDNESDAY...CONFIDENCE WAS
NOT HIGH TO INSERT A PREVAILING GROUP INTO THE FORECAST AT THIS
TIME.

05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  69  88  69  89  70 /   0   5   0   0   0
WACO, TX              67  88  68  89  68 /   0   5   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             66  85  67  86  69 /   0   5   5   0   0
DENTON, TX            67  87  67  88  68 /   0   5   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          67  86  67  87  68 /   0   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            69  90  70  91  70 /   0   5   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           67  87  68  88  69 /   0   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         67  88  68  89  69 /   0   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            67  88  67  89  67 /   0   5   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     67  88  67  89  67 /   5   5   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$



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