Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 301136
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
636 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.AVIATION...
A FEW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS AND MAY
BRIEFLY AFFECT WACO...MAINLY THIS MORNING. THESE ELEVATED SHOWERS
SHOULD BE BRIEF AND HAVE LITTLE IF ANY IMPACT TO AVIATION
OPERATIONS.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL NORTH TEXAS TAF SITES WITH
BROKEN TO OVERCAST MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING AND
SCATTERED TO BROKEN UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A SOUTH WIND WILL PREVAIL AT SPEEDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 12 KNOTS.

79

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015/
A SOMEWHAT COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN HAS SET UP ACROSS THE REGION.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A SHORTWAVE CAN BEEN SEEN TURNING OVER WEST
TEXAS...AS WELL AS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF OF THE MS/AL GULF
COAST. A THIRD DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED OVER SOUTHERN
IL/IN. ALL THE WHILE...THE INFAMOUS UPPER LEVEL HIGH HAS MOVED
OVER INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. AT THE SURFACE... NUMEROUS
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM YESTERDAY`S CONVECTION REMAIN
ACROSS THE AREA...AND THE BROAD SURFACE FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH
THE PLAINS WAS DRAPED ACROSS OKLAHOMA. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR NORTH
AND CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY IS A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. AS OF
830 Z /330 AM/...LIGHT SHOWERS WERE PRESENT SOUTHWEST OF THE DFW
METROPLEX. MOST MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING
EASTWARD AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS.
COVERAGE WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD AND AMOUNTS WILL BE FAIRLY LOW.
HOWEVER...IT WOULD STILL BE MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE FRONT ACROSS OKLAHOMA IS NOT EXPECTED
TO MAKE IT INTO OUR AREA. AT BEST...IT REACHES THE RED RIVER
BEFORE WASHING OUT.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS PART OF THE AREA RETURNS TUESDAY.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE CONFINED TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES THOUGH.
WHILE SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE HIGH HERE EITHER. OTHER THAN
TODAY AND TUESDAY...EXPECT A DRY FORECAST.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND LOWS IN
THE 70S.

AJS

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  97  75  98  76  93 /  20  10   0   0  10
WACO, TX              93  73  95  73  93 /  20   5   0   5  20
PARIS, TX             94  71  94  70  92 /  20  10   5   5  10
DENTON, TX            95  72  95  73  93 /  20  10   0   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          93  72  95  73  92 /  20  10   0   0  10
DALLAS, TX            96  76  96  77  93 /  20  10   0   0  10
TERRELL, TX           94  71  94  72  92 /  20  10   5   5  10
CORSICANA, TX         93  73  95  74  92 /  20  10   5   5  20
TEMPLE, TX            94  71  97  72  92 /  20   5   5   5  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     96  70  96  71  94 /  10   5   0   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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