Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
FXUS64 KFWD 271150
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
650 AM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016
Scattered to broken clouds have developed across the region
overnight and have slowed radiational cooling. This in turn has
helped visibilities improve in most locations. Therefore, we will
cancel the dense fog advisory that was in affect along and north
of a line from Jacksboro to Plano to Canton. Some patchy fog is
still possible but widespread dense fog appears unlikely.
The only other change will be to increase the cloud cover this
/ISSUED 642 AM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016/
VFR conditions are anticipated at area TAF sites through the
forecast period. While occasionally BKN cigs around FL055 are
occurring at the Metroplex sites this morning, this should turn
into more of a SCT deck into the afternoon hours. As a result,
will show one-line TAFs for brevity this morning.
At Waco, decided to remove any mention of MVFR cigs as any stratus
of mention is currently confined to near San Antonio and west
across the Texas Hill Country. In addition, the flow around 1 kft
is quite veered, which should shunt any developing stratus to the
east of the TAF site.
A light south to southeasterly wind will prevail at all terminals
at speeds between 4 to 9 kts.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 AM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016/
The upper level trough that brought a few storms to North Texas
Wednesday evening will continue moving towards the East Coast
today. Upper level high pressure will build in from the west over
the next couple of days and bring warm and rain-free weather.
About the only major weather concern in the near term will be the
potential for dense fog this morning due to a light wind and a
clearing sky. Locations generally north of the Interstate 20
corridor that saw some precip Wednesday will have the best
potential for occasional reductions in visibility below 1/2 mile.
This excludes much of the Metroplex where temp/dewpoint spreads
will remain considerably larger. We will issue a dense fog
advisory for locations generally along and north of a line from
Jacksboro to Plano to Canton through 11 AM. We will mention
patchy dense fog south of the advisory area and generally east of
the Interstate 35 corridor. Any fog that does develop will lift
and scatter by late morning and give way to a mostly sunny sky.
Afternoon highs today will once again warm into the lower and
The weather pattern will begin to undergo some changes over the
weekend with the approach of an upper level low pressure system
from the West Coast. However, the only changes that North Texas
will see initially will be a few more high clouds Sunday and
Monday. More significant changes will occur Tuesday and Wednesday
when the trough deepens and moves across the Desert Southwest.
Large scale forcing for ascent coupled with abundant low level
moisture will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms. The GFS
and ECMWF still differ on the strength and timing of this system
so we will keep PoPs Tuesday through Wednesday fairly low for
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 85 64 86 65 86 / 5 5 0 0 0
Waco 85 60 86 61 86 / 5 5 0 5 0
Paris 83 60 84 61 84 / 5 5 0 5 0
Denton 83 61 84 62 85 / 5 5 0 0 0
McKinney 83 61 83 62 84 / 5 5 0 0 0
Dallas 85 64 85 65 85 / 5 5 0 0 0
Terrell 84 60 84 61 84 / 5 5 0 5 0
Corsicana 84 60 85 62 84 / 5 5 0 5 0
Temple 85 59 85 61 85 / 5 5 0 5 5
Mineral Wells 85 61 85 60 86 / 5 5 0 0 0
Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CDT this morning for TXZ091>095-