Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 122051
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
251 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEAST
OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN A MUCH COOLER
NIGHT TONIGHT WITH LOWS FROM THE MIDDLE 30S NEAR THE RED RIVER TO
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 40S IN CENTRAL TEXAS.

LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL RETURN TO THE REGION SATURDAY AS
A SURFACE LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING LOW CLOUD COVER THROUGH THE
DAY SATURDAY WHICH WILL OFFSET THE WARM AIR ADVECTION AND KEEP
AFTERNOON HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S.

MOSTLY CLOUDY...BREEZY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S.

SUNDAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY AND MILD WITH A FEW WARM AIR
ADVECTION SHOWERS. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN A
SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH/SOUTHEAST FROM
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE. THE SHORTWAVE AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
ENTIRE REGION MONDAY AND PRECIPITATION WILL END QUICKLY FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.

UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY AND BRING MILD TEMPERATURES AND LITTLE CHANCE FOR
RAIN. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE MAINLY IN
THE 70S WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.

79

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1232 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2016/
/18Z TAFS/

CONCERNS...POTENTIAL MVFR CEILINGS ON SATURDAY.

NORTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL RETURN MID TO LATE MORNING SATURDAY. THE MORNING FOG ACROSS
THE COASTAL PLAINS HAS DISSIPATED...LEAVING FEW CLOUDS...BUT SOME
OF THE HIGHEST DEW POINTS IN RECENT WEEKS SHOW THAT PLENTY OF
GULF MOISTURE REMAINS. SOME OF THIS MOISTURE WILL BEGIN FILTERING
INTO NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY...AND MVFR CEILINGS WILL
LIKELY ARRIVE IN WACO AROUND MIDDAY. ALTHOUGH STRATOCU CEILINGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE DAY IN THE METROPLEX...AT THAT
POINT...CEILINGS WOULD BE VFR.

25


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  60  51  65  49 /   0   0   5  20  40
WACO, TX              43  65  51  70  49 /   0   0  10  20  30
PARIS, TX             35  53  41  54  44 /   0   0   5  20  50
DENTON, TX            36  59  49  65  45 /   0   0   5  20  40
MCKINNEY, TX          37  57  49  63  47 /   0   0   5  20  50
DALLAS, TX            42  60  51  67  50 /   0   0  10  20  50
TERRELL, TX           40  59  49  64  49 /   0   0   5  20  50
CORSICANA, TX         43  62  51  69  52 /   5   0  10  20  40
TEMPLE, TX            44  65  51  70  50 /   5   0  10  20  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     39  63  50  69  45 /   0   0   5  10  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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