Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 142335
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
635 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.AVIATION...
THE MVFR CIGS THAT HAVE PLAGUED THE AREA HAVE NOW LIFTED AND
SCATTERED TO OVER 030 FOR ALL AREA TAF SITES. RETURNING MVFR CIGS
ARE POSSIBLE JUST BEFORE SUNRISE ON MONDAY AND WOULD LAST THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS...SHOULD CIGS DROP TO MVFR. ADDITIONALLY...-SHRA
IS POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY FOR THE DFW AREA...BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THIS ACTIVITY ADVERSELY AFFECTING THE TAF SITES IS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME.
OTHERWISE...LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY ON
MONDAY BUT SHOULD STILL STAY BELOW 10 KTS FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

AJS/81

&&




.SHORT TERM...
/THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED THAT A SHORTWAVE WAS OVER
FAR WEST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM
SOUTHERN GEORGIA WEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THE SHORTWAVE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH...THEN NORTHEAST AND THEN EAST AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN ZONES. THERE WILL BE LOW
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND MAYBE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY ACROSS
THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES
ACROSS OKLAHOMA.

A SHORTWAVE THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER NORTHEASTERN MONTANA WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST MONDAY AND INTO THE
EASTERN U.S. TUESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THIS WILL PUT THE
FORECAST AREA UNDER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THUS WE WILL HAVE
LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

AFTER A COOL WEEKEND...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...COMING BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL
NORMALS.

58

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  69  88  72  91  74 /  10  20  20  30  20
WACO, TX              68  90  71  92  73 /  10  10  20  30  30
PARIS, TX             66  84  68  86  69 /  20  20  20  30  10
DENTON, TX            67  87  70  90  71 /  20  20  20  30  20
MCKINNEY, TX          66  87  68  90  70 /  20  20  20  30  20
DALLAS, TX            70  89  72  91  74 /  10  20  20  30  20
TERRELL, TX           66  88  70  90  71 /  10  10  20  30  20
CORSICANA, TX         67  89  71  91  72 /  10  10  20  30  20
TEMPLE, TX            68  91  72  91  72 /  10  10  20  40  30
MINERAL WELLS, TX     64  89  69  88  70 /  20  20  20  30  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

81/





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