Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 310427
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1127 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.AVIATION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. LOW CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HILL COUNTRY
AND SOUTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT. THESE CLOUDS SHOULD REACH WACO AROUND
12Z SUNDAY AND THE METROPLEX TAF SITES ABOUT AN HOUR LATER.
CEILINGS BETWEEN 1500 AND 2500 FT WILL BE BRIEF...ESPECIALLY AT THE
METRO TERMINALS...AND SHOULD LIFT AND SCATTER BY 16Z. ONLY
SCATTERED CU ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING.

SINCE MOISTURE WILL REMAIN VERY SHALLOW AND FORCING WILL BE LACKING...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE VERY LOW THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

79

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE HAD A DIFFICULT TIME MAINTAINING THEMSELVES SO
FAR THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER...THEY HAVE STARTED TO LOOK A LITTLE
BETTER IN THE LAST HOUR AS WE APPROACH MAXIMUM HEATING. THE 12Z
SOUNDING INDICATED A POTENTIAL FOR SOME DOWN BURSTS...SO WILL
KEEP A MENTION OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS THROUGH SUNSET IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL DISSIPATE
TOWARD SUNSET AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES TO OUR EAST AND WE LOSE
DAYTIME HEATING. LOWS TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S ACROSS THE REGION.

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES. WE MAY SEE
SOME MORNING LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD SUNDAY
MORNING...OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER...WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AREA WIDE.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION EARLY WEEK AND
WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE MAY BE SOME LOW
RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE SOUTH BUT FOR NOW HAVE ONLY MENTIONED LOW
RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE SOUTH ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
LOWS WILL BE IN THE 70S AND HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 90S.

58



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  75  96  77  97  79 /   0  10   5   5   5
WACO, TX              73  96  76  97  78 /   5  10  10   5   5
PARIS, TX             71  91  73  93  75 /   5  10   5   5   5
DENTON, TX            73  94  77  97  78 /   0  10   5   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          72  95  74  95  76 /   0  10   5   5   5
DALLAS, TX            76  96  78  97  79 /   0  10   5   5   5
TERRELL, TX           74  93  75  95  77 /   5  10   5   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         74  94  75  96  77 /   5  20  10   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            72  96  74  97  76 /   5  20  10   5   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     73  96  73  98  74 /   0   5   5   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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