Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 200527
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1127 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR through Friday evening with increasing high clouds.

A south wind between 8 and 12 knots tonight will become
southwesterly on Friday and increase to around 15 knots sustained
with some daytime gusts as high as 25 knots. These winds could
cause some minor crosswind issues on North/South runways. Wind
speeds will decrease to around 12 knots by sunset Friday.

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2017/
Scattered showers and thunderstorms moved to the east of the
forecast area before daybreak today. The dense fog that developed
over much of North Central Texas before daybreak mixed out late
morning and the low clouds had exited to the east to Bonham to
Corsicana to Cameron line by 2 PM. Temperatures ranged from the
mid 50s in the cloud enshrouded east to the lower 70s across the
west. The low clouds should exit the eastern zones early evening.

As an upper level low that can be easily seen on water vapor
satellite imagery over central Kansas lifts northward, we will
have some brief upper level ridging. Afterwards, the upper level
flow across North and Central Texas will become southwesterly on
Friday. Lower level winds will be south to southwest at 10 to 20
mph both Friday and Saturday. This will result in quite mild
temperatures for the next couple of days. Lows will be in the mid
40s northwest to mid 50s southeast and highs will be mostly in the
70s.

A chance of showers and thunderstorms will return Saturday and
Saturday night ahead of a Pacific Cold front. At this time, it
looks like there will be the potential for a few strong
thunderstorms but organized severe weather is not expected. As a
surface and upper level low move across Oklahoma overnight
Saturday night and Sunday morning and into Arkansas Sunday
afternoon, expect gusty northwesterly winds behind the cold
front. Lows Saturday night will generally be in the 40s and highs
Sunday will be a little cooler than Saturday with upper 50s to mid
60s expected. Temperatures will moderate again for the early part
of next week.

Another cold front will move into the area Tuesday night bringing
a cool-down back to near seasonal normal temperatures for the
rest of the work week but it looks like this system will be rain-
free at this time.

58



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    50  76  51  75  49 /   0   5   5  20  30
Waco                48  76  47  75  49 /   0   5  10  20  20
Paris               48  72  48  71  46 /   0   5  10  30  50
Denton              47  75  47  74  46 /   0   5   5  20  30
McKinney            48  75  48  73  47 /   0   5   5  20  30
Dallas              51  76  52  75  50 /   0   5   5  20  30
Terrell             50  73  49  74  48 /   0   5  10  30  30
Corsicana           52  76  51  74  49 /   0   5  10  30  30
Temple              49  76  49  75  49 /   0   5  10  20  20
Mineral Wells       46  75  47  75  46 /   0   5   5  20  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$


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