Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 112336 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
536 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH NO MAJOR AVIATION
CONCERNS EXPECTED. LIGHT NORTH FLOW WILL PERSIST AND STRENGTHEN
SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. AT WACO...SOUTHERLY WINDS CURRENTLY
WILL BECOME NORTHERLY LATER TONIGHT. ON FRIDAY...NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL UNDER VFR CONDITIONS.

DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016/
THE WEAK FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA HAS MADE LITTLE PROGRESS
SOUTHWARD SINCE THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
AREAWIDE WITH AREAS NORTH OF THE FRONT IN THE LOW TO MID 70S AND
UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
REGION. AS OF 2PM WACO HAS RECORDED A MAX TEMPERATURE OF 81
DEGREES...WHICH WILL TIE THEIR RECORD HIGH FOR THE DAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING INTO THE PLAINS WILL PUSH THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY...ALLOWING FOR
COOLER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. RETURN FLOW WILL REDEVELOP BY
SUNDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE LEE
OF THE ROCKIES. A DEVELOPING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH
THIS LOW AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS AREAS
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35. INSTABILITY LOOKS
RATHER MEAGER WITH THIS SYSTEM SO HAVE PULLED MENTION OF THUNDER
FOR ALL BUT OUR FAR EAST COUNTIES.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF
THIS SYSTEM BRINGING PLEASANT CONDITIONS AND A SLOW RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. 99

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  42  66  39  59  46 /   0   0   0   0   5
WACO, TX              42  69  39  64  47 /   0   0   0   0  10
PARIS, TX             38  63  35  52  37 /   0   0   0   0   5
DENTON, TX            38  65  35  57  44 /   0   0   0   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          38  65  37  55  42 /   0   0   0   0   5
DALLAS, TX            43  65  41  58  46 /   0   0   0   0  10
TERRELL, TX           41  67  39  57  43 /   0   0   0   0   5
CORSICANA, TX         46  68  42  61  46 /   0   0   5   0  10
TEMPLE, TX            45  70  41  65  49 /   0   0   5   0  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     38  68  35  61  45 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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