Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 210916
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
316 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THIS FORECAST. AFTER CONTINUED CLOUDS AND
MILD TEMPERATURES TODAY...WE ARE STILL EXPECTING A DECENT WARM UP
MONDAY AHEAD OF TUESDAY/S COLD FRONT. WARMING WILL BE AIDED BY
SOUTHWEST DOWNSLOPE FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
AND A DRY LINE THAT WILL PRECEDE THE AFTERNOON/EVENING COLD
FRONT. LARGE SCALE FORCING DOES NOT OCCUR UNTIL TUESDAY AFTER THE
COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA...SO MOISTURE WILL
LIKELY BE LIMITED AND QPF WILL BE IN THE .01 TO .10 INCH RANGE.

AS WITH MOST PACIFIC SYSTEMS...THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS NOT
VERY COOL AND HIGHS TUE/WED WILL BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES.
CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW GOOD COOLING WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH LOWS
IN THE 30S EXPECTED ALL AREAS.

SOUTH WINDS GUSTING INTO THE 20 MPH RANGE RETURN CHRISTMAS
DAY...BRINGING HIGHS IN THE 60S AND A CHANCE FOR CHILDREN OF ALL
AGES TO ENJOY THEIR OUTDOOR TOYS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT ROLLS
THROUGH FRIDAY...SO WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTH ALSO WITH GUSTS INTO
THE 20 MPH RANGE. SATURDAY IS LIKELY THE COOLEST DAY OF THE LATE
WEEK...WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S EVERYWHERE BUT THE FAR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. 84

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1111 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2014/
/06Z TAFS/

LITTLE CHANGE FROM TRENDS EXPECTED EARLIER AT 00Z. MVFR CIGS
SHOULD EVENTUALLY COME DOWN INTO IFR AFTER MIDNIGHT AS TEMPS SLOWLY
COOL TOWARD THE DEW POINT VALUES. SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS
EXPECTED AS WELL AS THIS OCCURS THROUGH DAYBREAK AND CONTINUING AT
LEAST THROUGH MID MORNING. OTHERWISE...A SLOW RISE BACK INTO MVFR
AFTER MIDDAY IS EXPECTED. LIGHT E/SE WINDS AROUND 5 KTS WILL VEER
SOUTHERLY AROUND 10 KTS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

05/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  55  47  66  45  52 /   5  10   5  20  20
WACO, TX              56  48  69  46  54 /   5   5   5  10  20
PARIS, TX             53  46  61  45  51 /   5  10  10  30  30
DENTON, TX            54  46  65  42  52 /   5  10   5  30  20
MCKINNEY, TX          53  46  65  43  52 /   5  10   5  30  20
DALLAS, TX            55  48  66  46  53 /   5  10   5  20  20
TERRELL, TX           55  48  65  46  53 /   5  10  10  30  20
CORSICANA, TX         56  49  67  47  55 /   5  10   5  20  20
TEMPLE, TX            57  47  70  46  55 /   5  10   5  10  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     55  44  67  41  52 /   5   5   5  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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