Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 220102
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
802 PM CDT THU AUG 21 2014

.UPDATE...
THE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORMED NORTHWEST OF A MINERAL
WELLS TO GAINESVILLE LINE THIS AFTERNOON HAVE DISSIPATED WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. HAVE SENT AN UPDATED FORECAST TO REMOVE
THE MENTION OF ISOLATED EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS AND HAVE
ADJUSTED THE HOURLY GRIDS.

58

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 653 PM CDT THU AUG 21 2014/
/00Z TAFS/

CONCERNS...MVFR CIGS RETURNING TO KACT FRIDAY MORNING.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING WITH CLEAR SKIES AND SOUTH
WINDS 10-15 KTS. THE SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING GULF MOISTURE NORTH
OVERNIGHT WITH MVFR CIGS RETURNING TO KACT AROUND 09-10Z. SOME
SCATTERED STRATUS MAY MOVE INTO THE DFW METROPLEX BUT BKN CIGS ARE
NOT EXPECTED. THE MVFR CIGS AT KACT WILL LIFT AND SCATTER BY
MIDDAY. SOUTH WINDS OF 10-15 KTS WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE ON FRIDAY.

82/JLD


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CDT THU AUG 21 2014/
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN JUST EAST OF THE STATE
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP NORTH TEXAS IN LARGE SCALE
SUBSIDENCE. OVERALL THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN RAIN-FREE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND STORMS ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF NORTH TEXAS WHERE LARGE
SCALE SUBSIDENCE WILL BE THE WEAKEST. FOR NOW...WE WILL LEAVE
AFTERNOON POPS IN THE WEST AT 10 PERCENT AND ONLY MENTION IN THE
ZONES FOR THE FIRST PERIOD OF THE FORECAST.

HOT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 101 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
GENERALLY IN THE 70S. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES SHOULD REMAIN
JUST BELOW 105 SO NO HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME.
BREEZY SOUTH WINDS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL ALSO HELP KEEP THE HEAT
A BIT MORE TOLERABLE.

AN UPPER TROUGH IS STILL PROGGED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN
U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS TROUGH SHOULD MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS BY MIDWEEK AND ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO ENTER NORTH
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT WILL BRING COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND SOME RAIN CHANCES BACK TO NORTH TEXAS AS WE HEAD
INTO THE END OF AUGUST.



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  78  99  79 100  79 /   5   5   5   5   5
WACO, TX              77  98  77  97  76 /   5   5   5   5   5
PARIS, TX             74  96  75  98  75 /   5   5   5   5   5
DENTON, TX            78 100  76 100  76 /   5   5   5   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          76  98  74  98  75 /   5   5   5   5   5
DALLAS, TX            79  98  80 100  80 /   5   5   5   5   5
TERRELL, TX           76  97  76  98  76 /   5   5   5   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         75  96  76  97  76 /   5   5   5   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            75  98  75  97  74 /   5   5   5   5   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     73 100  73 100  74 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

82/58








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