Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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987
FXUS64 KFWD 210455 AAB
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1155 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2016

.AVIATION...
No aviation concerns with VFR conditions continuing through the
forecast period. Surface winds will oscillate between east-
southeasterly and southerly, but at light enough speeds continue a
persistence one-line TAF.

Carlaw

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 512 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2016/
An upper high of near 600dm centered over central Oklahoma is
keeping the hot weather in place across North and Central Texas
with current temperatures in the mid to upper 90s and heat index
values generally around 100-104. Low-level moisture is evident
with the expansive cumulus field...but unlike yesterday where a
weak disturbance rotated around the upper high to cause isolated
thunderstorms...that is not the case today with no precip showing
up across our area.

Temperatures should be pushing 100 degrees tomorrow and into the
weekend. Will not issue a heat advisory for tomorrow though a few
areas across our eastern counties will have heat index values near
105. May be needing one for Friday as temperatures look to be a
degree or two higher than tomorrow.

No POPS are in the forecast through the weekend. By early next
week...one upper high is progged to be centered over the
southwestern U.S. with another upper high centered in the
Carolinas. This will leave North Texas in a general troughiness
upper air pattern resulting in temperatures cooling a few degrees
as well as a slight chance for thunderstorms. Not looking for
anything widespread at this time...however the ECMWF brings a
pretty decent upper trough across the Southern Plains mid-week so
will be tracking that in hopes of bumping up pops in the extended
period.

WILEY



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    80  99  80 101  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                78 101  78 100  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               77 100  77 101  79 /  10   5   0   5   0
Denton              76  98  76 101  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            77  97  77 100  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              80 100  80 101  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             77  99  77 100  78 /   5   5   0   0   0
Corsicana           77  98  78 100  79 /   5   5   0   5   0
Temple              76  99  76 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       75 100  75 101  75 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

90/58



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