Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 211631
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1031 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

.UPDATE...
THE ONGOING FORECAST IS IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE FOR THE REST OF
TODAY...WITH A PESSIMISTIC APPROACH TO ANY SIGNIFICANT CLEARING
FOR THE BULK OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. HOWEVER...THE UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY TRANSITING THE AREA DOES OFFER MODEST HOPE IN
TERMS OF PROMOTING SOME CLEARING IN THE FAR WESTERN AREAS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY WEST OF A BOWIE TO GOLDTHWAITE LINE.
OTHERWISE...CLOUDY AND SLIGHTLY WARMER CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL
TODAY ACROSS THE AREA. AN INCREASE IN SOUTH WINDS MAY MAKE IT FEEL
A FEW DEGREES COLDER THAN IT OTHERWISE WOULD...HOWEVER.

66/25

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 601 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014/
AS WINDS HAVE BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASED IN SPEED...
CEILNGS HAVE BEEN IMPROVING. THUS HAVE INDICATED PRIMARLY MVFR
CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WITH AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY 18Z. WINDS
WILL BECOME MORE SOUTH SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD KEEP
ALL OF THE TAF SITES VFR MONDAY MORNING.

58


&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014/
ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THIS FORECAST. AFTER CONTINUED CLOUDS AND
MILD TEMPERATURES TODAY...WE ARE STILL EXPECTING A DECENT WARM UP
MONDAY AHEAD OF TUESDAY/S COLD FRONT. WARMING WILL BE AIDED BY
SOUTHWEST DOWNSLOPE FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
AND A DRY LINE THAT WILL PRECEDE THE AFTERNOON/EVENING COLD
FRONT. LARGE SCALE FORCING DOES NOT OCCUR UNTIL TUESDAY AFTER THE
COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA...SO MOISTURE WILL
LIKELY BE LIMITED AND QPF WILL BE IN THE .01 TO .10 INCH RANGE.

AS WITH MOST PACIFIC SYSTEMS...THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS NOT
VERY COOL AND HIGHS TUE/WED WILL BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES.
CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW GOOD COOLING WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH LOWS
IN THE 30S EXPECTED ALL AREAS.

SOUTH WINDS GUSTING INTO THE 20 MPH RANGE RETURN CHRISTMAS
DAY...BRINGING HIGHS IN THE 60S AND A CHANCE FOR CHILDREN OF ALL
AGES TO ENJOY THEIR OUTDOOR TOYS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT ROLLS
THROUGH FRIDAY...SO WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTH ALSO WITH GUSTS INTO
THE 20 MPH RANGE. SATURDAY IS LIKELY THE COOLEST DAY OF THE LATE
WEEK...WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S EVERYWHERE BUT THE FAR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. 84



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  55  47  66  45  52 /   5  10   5  20  20
WACO, TX              55  48  69  46  54 /   5   5   5  10  20
PARIS, TX             51  46  61  45  51 /   5  10  10  30  30
DENTON, TX            53  46  65  42  52 /   5  10   5  30  20
MCKINNEY, TX          51  46  65  43  52 /   5  10   5  30  20
DALLAS, TX            54  48  66  46  53 /   5  10   5  20  20
TERRELL, TX           53  48  65  46  53 /   5  10  10  30  20
CORSICANA, TX         54  49  67  47  55 /   5  10   5  20  20
TEMPLE, TX            56  47  70  46  55 /   5  10   5  10  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     54  44  67  41  52 /   5   5   5  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

25/66





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