542
FXUS64 KBRO 150529 AAA
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1229 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1012 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Dry conditions are likely to persist across all of deep south Texas
and the RGV for the remainder of tonight as well as through next
Tuesday as mid-level ridging continues overhead. Partly cloudy to
mostly cloudy skies Tuesday become mainly sunny each day, beginning
Wednesday, as subsidence aloft enhances from a low pressure system
to our northeast, which may move into the central Gulf states later
this week. Average temperatures and drier than average PWAT values
continue Wednesday through Friday, with inland afternoon highs in
the mid to upper 90`s while portions of the Rio Grande Plains soar
to near, or slightly above, 100 degrees and highs at the beaches
reach into the mid-80`s. Throughout the weekend, a slight warming
trend is expected, with high temperatures gradually warming to
mostly the upper 90s inland and possibly widespread lower 100`s
near, and west of, US 281 and I-69 C by Sunday, lasting into
Tuesday. Daily afternoon heat indices of 100-110 degrees are
expected, potentially briefly surpassing 110 degrees in a few
locations over the weekend and into next week as the low pressure
system moves inland and lower level moisture increases. Near
average overnight lows continue, with temperatures falling to the
70s inland and to near 80 degrees across portions of the RGV and
along the coast.

A moderate risk for rip currents continues into Tuesday along the
lower Texas beaches.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Light winds for the remainder of the overnight hours will become
breezy on Tuesday before diminishing around sunset. Partly cloudy,
rain-free skies are also anticipated. Overall, MVFR to VFR will
prevail at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1012 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Gentle to moderate southeasterly to southerly winds and slight to
moderate (2-3 feet) seas prevail into the beginning of next week.
Brief afternoon periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions
are possible across the Laguna Madre as moderate to fresh winds
result from a locally enhanced pressure gradient. Mostly dry
conditions are likely to persist.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             93  79  94  77 /   0   0   0   0
HARLINGEN               95  77  97  74 /   0   0   0   0
MCALLEN                 97  79  99  77 /  10   0   0   0
RIO GRANDE CITY         97  77 101  74 /  10   0   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      87  80  88  79 /   0   0   0   0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     92  79  93  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$