076
FXUS64 KBRO 100537 AAA
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1237 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1032 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

Weak mid-level low pressure remains sandwiched along the lower
Texas coast with high pressure across the Desert SW and eastern
Gulf into this weekend. At the surface, high pressure holds across
the Gulf, maintaining southeasterly flow across Deep South Texas
through the forecast period. Rain chances generally remain very
low (below 15 percent) through the rest of the week, potentially
limited by a large plume of Saharan dust through Friday. Above
normal moisture returns over the weekend, nudging rain chances
slightly to near 20 percent, still mainly isolated along the sea
breeze Saturday into Monday.

Drier air and potentially another round of Saharan dust arrives
by mid next week, dropping rain chances once again. Expect near
normal temperatures into early next week with humidity boosting
the Heat Risk from minor (level 1 of 4) Thursday to mostly
moderate (level 2 of 4) Friday through Tuesday. Above normal
temperatures arrive by Wednesday and Thursday, with drier
conditions, maintaining generally minor to briefly moderate Heat
Risk. Skies may be hazy through Friday and again next week, with
periods of degraded air quality for sensitive groups.

Increasing swell periods and surf around 3 feet will bring back a
moderate risk of rip currents by Friday afternoon to the lower
Texas coastal beaches.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

A few mid to high level clouds and light southeast winds prevail
across Deep South Texas early this morning. VFR conditions are
expected for the next 24 hours, with brief MVFR ceilings possible
overnight. Light winds early this morning will become breezy
later this morning into the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1032 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

Surface high pressure generally holds across the Western Gulf
with light to moderate southeasterly winds through the forecast
period, maintaining seas of generally 2 to 4 feet through mid to
late next week. Small Craft Caution conditions are expected Friday
through Saturday, mainly during the afternoon along the bay and
northern nearshore waters due to gusty winds. There remains a low
chance of thunderstorms offshore through Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             91  79  92  80 /  10   0  10   0
HARLINGEN               94  76  94  77 /  10   0  10   0
MCALLEN                 95  78  96  80 /  10   0  10   0
RIO GRANDE CITY         94  76  97  77 /  10  10   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      86  80  87  80 /  10   0   0   0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     90  78  91  79 /  10   0  10   0

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56-Hallman
LONG TERM....56-Hallman
AVIATION...63-KC