Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KHGX 020314
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1014 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SEEING SOME ACTIVITY TRYING TO MOVE ONSHORE THIS EVENING WITH A
BIT MORE NOTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS MOVING IN THIS DIRECTION
THAN THE PREVIOUS EVENING. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS PLANNED FOR THE UP-
DATE AS A QUICK PEEK AT INCOMING MODELS/OTHER SHORT-RANGE PROGS
REMAIN RATHER INSISTENT ON AT LEAST SCT COVERAGE FOR TOMORROW.

FOR THE MARINE FCST...HAVE INCREASED WINDS/EXTENDED SCEC AS PER
ONGOING TRENDS. 41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 758 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

AVIATION...
STORMS INLAND HAVE NEARLY ALL DISSIPATED BUT THE GULF IS MORE
ACTIVE AND GOES SOUNDER SHOWS 2.1-2.2" PW MARCHING INTO THE THE
COASTAL WATERS WHERE COINCIDENTALLY THE SHOWERS HAVE BEEN
INCREASING IN COVERAGE. THESE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE
COAST BUT WILL BE FIGHTING THE SUBSIDENCE NEAR THE COAST AT LEAST
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. BY 10 PM TO MIDNIGHT EXPECT THAT SOME OF THE
SHOWERS SHOULD CREEP INTO THE COASTAL AREAS. HAVE VCSH FOR GLS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. INCREASING MOISTURE SHOULD LEAD TO A BAND OF SCT
TO BKN CIGS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. DO EXPECT SOME IFR CIGS AT CXO AND MAY COME CLOSE AT
UTS/CLL BUT DON`T EXPECT THE FOG OR DENSE FOG THAT HAPPENED EARLY
THIS MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE SCATTERED ACROSS
THE REGION TUESDAY AND FOR NOW HAVE VICINITY SHRA/TSRA AND TEMPO
CONDITIONS FOR THE HOU/IAH HUBS BETWEEN 16-21Z WHERE THE BEST
CHANCES LIE FOR THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE/LIFT/INSTABILITY.
DRIER AIR SHOULD FLOW BACK INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY
AND LESS COVERAGE. 45


CLIMATE...
THE CLIMATOLOGIC SUMMER DEFINED AS JUNE...JULY AND AUGUST HAS
COME TO AN END AND THERE WERE NO 100 DEGREE DAYS RECORDED AT ANY
OF THE 4 FIRST ORDER CLIMATE SITES. HOUSTON HAS NOT HAD A SUMMER
FREE OF 100 DEGREE DAYS SINCE SINCE 1997 AND COLLEGE STATION HAS
NOT ACHIEVED THIS FEAT SINCE 2004. THE AVERAGE TEMP FOR THE SUMMER
WAS ALSO COOLER THAN NORMAL FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-10 AND A BIT
WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR AREAS SOUTH OF OF I-10. 43

SITE               2014 AVERAGE       1981-2010 AVERAGE     DEP
                   SUMMER TEMP        SUMMER TEMP

CITY OF HOUSTON       83.6                83.8              -0.2
COLLEGE STATION       83.4                84.1              -0.7
CITY OF GALVESTON     84.5                84.1              +0.3
HOUSTON HOBBY         83.7                83.3              +0.4

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  94  76  95  75 /  10  30  20  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              77  92  77  93  76 /  20  40  20  30  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  90  81  90  81 /  30  30  20  30  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.