Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 281757
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1257 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

.AVIATION...
BASED ON CURRENT RADAR TRENDS HAVE ADDED THE MENTION OF VCTS FOR
MOST SITES (EXCEPT LBX/GLS) FOR THE REST OF THE AFTN. RIDGING A-
LOFT APPEARS TO BE A BIT WEAKER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED...SO WE
ARE SEEING STORMS HOLDING TOGETHER AND/OR DEVELOPING IN THE AREA
AS THE AFTN WEARS ON. ATTM...NOT SEEING ANY LOW LEVEL BOUNDARIES
FOR THIS PCPN TO FOCUS ON SO WILL KEEP WITH VC WORDING UNTIL THE
EVE HRS. HOWEVER SHORT TERM PROGS ARE INDICATING THE POSSIBILITY
OF AN OVERNIGHT TSRA COMPLEX MOVING IN FROM THE NW. 41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1104 AM CDT THU MAY 28 2015/

SFC ANALYSIS HAS MOISTURE AXIS RUNNING FROM THE COASTAL BEND
THROUGH C TX AND THEN INTO N C TX. AREA RADAR SHOWING SOME SHOWERS
DEVELOPING OVER C TX JUST WEST OF THE BRAZOS VALLEY AND THIS
ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BASED ON RECENT
HRRR TRENDS. INCREASED CHANCES TO 30 PERCENT FOR THE AFTERNOON
BASED ON THIS. MAX TEMPS IN THE MID/UPPER 80S LOOKS ON TRACK FOR
THE DAY AS WELL.

AFTERNOON FORECAST WILL FOCUS ON THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FRIDAY AND
THEN AGAIN LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. IT LOOKS LIKE LATE SAT INTO
SUN HAS BETTER SET UP FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WORKING INTO THE AREA.

39

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      88  73  86  72  83 /  30  20  50  20  40
HOUSTON (IAH)              87  74  85  72  84 /  20  20  50  20  40
GALVESTON (GLS)            85  78  84  76  83 /  20  10  30  20  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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