Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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249
FXUS64 KHGX 250057
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
757 PM CDT FRI JUN 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...
VFR. Skies rapidly clearing with light southeast winds. Ridging to
the northeast helped limit development of TSRA to the north with
with subsidence. Upper low over Mexico will keep the moist low
level flow in place but gradually shifting it to the southwest.
This should lead to the redevelopment of CU in the morning and
convective temperatures around 89-90 to overcome the mid level
subsidence. Eastern areas may see primarily showers while the
southwest may see more thunderstorms. For now will carry VCSH at
IAH/HOU Sat after 16z for the main mode of precip but a rogue TSRA
can`t be ruled out. 45

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED /

DISCUSSION...
A few showers and thunderstorms are continuing to push inland this
afternoon but should die off later this evening. An upper level
low over Mexico will help advect in higher PWs tomorrow,
particularly over the SW zones. This will increase the chance for
showers and thunderstorms tomorrow, beginning first offshore
during the morning and spreading inland throughout the day.
A more typical summer-like pattern returns for Sunday and Monday.
On Tuesday, a back-door cold front will approach SE Texas and
increase the potential for showers and thunderstorms both Tuesday
and Wednesday. A more typical summertime regime returns on
Thursday and lasts through the remainder of the period.

High temperatures are forecast in the low to mid 90s with heat
index values in the low to mid 100s through next week.

Merrifield

MARINE...
Moderate southerly winds will continue this weekend, but decrease
early next week as high pressure over the northern Gulf expands.
This will allow for low seas through next week. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue the next several
days. A better chance of rain is expected Tuesday night into
Wednesday as an upper level disturbance moves across from the north
to the south. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      75  92  76  94  75 /  10  30  10  20  10
Houston (IAH)              77  93  76  94  75 /  10  40  10  30  10
Galveston (GLS)            82  90  82  90  80 /  10  30  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...41



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