Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 272000
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
300 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SKIES ARE SUNNY ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S ALMOST AREA WIDE. WITH A COUPLE
MORE HOURS LEFT OF HEATING...SOME UPPER 70S COULD BE REACHED. THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN QUIET FOR THE WEEKEND WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD/WARM
DAYS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND AN ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS TO THE AREA AND STRENGTHENS. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER
CAN BE EXPECTED. BY TUESDAY...THE COMBINATION OF DEEPENING MOISTURE
LEVELS AND A MID/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE HEADING THIS WAY FROM THE WEST
WILL BRING RAIN BACK INTO OUR FORECAST. MODELS ARE INDICATING THE BEST
RAIN CHANCES COMING SOME TIME BETWEEN TUESDAY EVENING AND WEDNESDAY
EVENING...BUT THEY ARE DIFFERING A BIT ONCE AGAIN ON THE STRENGTH/TIMING/LOCATION
OF THE SYSTEM. WE ARE STILL CARRYING CHANCE POPS FOR THIS EVENT...BUT
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF WE EVENTUALLY NEED TO CARRY SOME HIGHER NUMBERS
WHEN MODELS COME INTO A BETTER AND MORE CONSISTENT AGREEMENT. IT LOOKS
LIKE FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK (AND OUTSIDE THE RAIN TIMES)...LOWS IN THE
60S AND HIGHS IN THE 80S INLAND/70S AT THE COAST CAN BE EXPECTED. ENJOY
THIS WEEKEND`S MILD SPRING TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES WHILE THEY
LAST...BECAUSE YOU KNOW WHAT WILL BE HERE SOON.  42
&&

.MARINE...

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL
U.S. MOVES EAST. ONSHORE WINDS WILL RETURN LATE SATURDAY AS THE HIGH
DRIFTS EAST AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN SIGNIFICANTLY ON SUNDAY AND ONSHORE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. THE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN AGAIN
MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA WEAKENS
AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES MOVES EAST. THE NEXT CHC OF
SHWRS/TSTMS APPEARS TO BE ON WED AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. 43

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1145 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO NORTH TEXAS. LIGHT W-NW WINDS WILL BECOME SW-S ON
SATURDAY. 43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      50  79  57  79  61 /   0   0   0   0  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              52  80  59  81  62 /   0   0   0   0  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            61  74  64  77  65 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION.MARINE...43



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