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000
FXUS64 KHGX 190220
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
920 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
VERY FEW CHANGES MADE THIS PACKAGE WITH A FEW TWEEKS TO SKY COVER
AND A FEW OTHER FIELDS. BASED ON SATELLITE TRENDS AND POSITION OF
UPPER RIDGE...EXPECT AREAS OF HIGH CLOUD TO CONTINE TO STEAM
TOWARD THE AREA...BUT LIKELY NOTHING MUCH AS LONG AS WE ARE EAST
OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS. UPPER RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EAST OF THE
AREA SATURDAY WITH SOME INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS THEN. TEMPS AND
WINDS LOOK ON TARGET. ALSO NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. 46

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 551 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION FOR 0Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF ISSUANCE. THIS
MORNING THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES AS WINDS
DECOUPLE. A CIRRUS DECK IS ALSO FORECASTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE CIRRUS
SHOULD HELP VISIBILITIES TO REMAIN UNRESTRICTED EXCEPT AT RURAL
SITES SUCH AS KCXO AND KLBX. 23

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WITH LIGHT CAA/UPPER RIDGE HOLDING IN PLACE A BIT LONGER...LOOKS
LIKE DRY/MILD WX TO PERSIST ACROSS SE TX THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NO
SIGNIFICANT RETURN OF MOISTURE UNTIL LATE SUN...BUT MODELS KEEP-
ING WITH THE DRIER TREND AS THE NEXT UPPER TROF TAKES A MORE NLY
TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE SUN THROUGH TUES. THIS SYS-
TEM PROGGED TO BRING ANOTHER WEAK FRONT INTO THE AREA TUE AS AN-
WEAK UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE STATE. THIS REINFORCING AIRMASS
TO BRING DRIER/COOLER CONDITIONS BRIEFLY AROUND MID WEEK.

DEVELOPMENT/PASSAGE OF THE NEXT UPPER TROF ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS
DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WILL HELP THE RETURN FLOW RE-
ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE AREA. THIS SHOULD HERALD THE RETURN OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE (AND WARMER TEMPS) DURING THIS TIMEFRAME. NOT
TERRIBLY KEEN REGARDING THE RETURN OF LOW POPS UNTIL NEXT FRI OR
SO (AND POSSIBLY NEXT WEEKEND) WITH A SLIGHTLY MORE ACTIVE UPPER
(SUBTROPICAL) JET. 41

MARINE...
LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES SATURDAY AND CONTINUES INTO MIDWEEK. LOW
SEAS WILL PERSIST. WEAK FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO SE TX ON TUE
BUT LIKELY STALL BEFORE REACHING THE COAST. A TIGHTENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO JUST SLIGHTLY HIGHER SE WINDS/SEAS DURING THE
2ND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.  47


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      57  80  59  80  63 /   0  10  10  10  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              58  80  60  81  64 /   0  10  10  10  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            64  76  64  77  68 /   0  10  10  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$