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000
FXUS64 KHGX 011744
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1244 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...
LINGERING MVFR CIGS SHOULD LIFT INTO VFR TERRITORY IN THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO FOR MOST LOCATIONS. DIFFUSE WINDSHIFT/FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...THOUGH SOMEWHAT HARD TO FIND ON SFC PLOT...LOOKS TO BE
ROUGHLY SITUATED ALONG THE HIGHWAY 59 CORRIDOR. BASED ON SAT
IMAGERY ESTIMATES...AVAILABLE MOISTURE IS QUITE HIGH SOUTH OF I-10
WHERE SCT CELLS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED STRONG CELLS INCREASES LATER IN THE DAY AS
A WEAK SEABREEZE TRIES TO DEVELOP CLOSE TO THE COAST (THOUGH WON`T
MAKE IT VERY FAR INLAND). AVIATION-WISE AND OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...MAINLY
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST UNTIL LATE NIGHT WHEN SOME PATCHY MVFR
CIGS REDEVELOP. KEPT VCTS`S GOING FROM HOBBY SOUTHWARD INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. NCEP 4 KM WRF SUGGESTS CONVECTION POTENTIALLY
LASTING UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR COAST & OFFSHORE. IT`S AN
OUTLIER, BUT DID DECENT JOB DEPICTING LAST NIGHTS TSTMS SO WILL
KEEP AN EYE OUT. 47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1100 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THE FCST FOR THIS AFTN. AIRMASS WILL
CONTINUE TO RECOVER FROM OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY BUT THE WAIT MAY NOT
BE TOO LONG BEFORE THINGS GET GOING ONCE AGAIN. GIVEN THE +2"PWS
AND THE PROXIMITY OF THE SFC BOUNDARY..HIGHEST POPS WILL BE OVER
THE COASTAL COUNTIES FOR THE AFTN/EARLY EVE HRS. 41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      89  71  90  71  93 /  10  10  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              89  73  90  73  92 /  40  30  30  20  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            87  78  89  78  89 /  50  30  40  30  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$