Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 281751
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1251 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.AVIATION...
A much quieter start to the day today. Morning soundings indi-
cating much drier air aloft and at the surface. Slightly lower
surface winds so far today should allow for the passage of the
seabreeze inland, but not as certain of activity developing it
as previously thought. And so, did scale back the VCTS to VCSH
for this afternoon. MVFR CIGS still in play for overnight into
early tomorrow morning. 41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...

This morning`s surface analysis is a bit more quiet than
yesterday. A weak pressure gradient will allow for light southerly
winds today over SE Texas. Deep moisture is less as evidenced from
12Z LCH sounding and ACARS soundings. There is even a bit more
capping which may be difficult for any storms to form. There may
be enough convergence along the sea breeze to initiate a storm but
overall think rain chances are less than the 20 percent left in
the forecast for the afternoon. It looks like similar conditions
for the next couple of days which will help flood waters to
recede. Flooding along Spring Creek, West Fork of the San Jacinto,
Brazos and Colorado Rivers will continue to be a problem the next
few days.

Overpeck

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      87  73  86  71  85 /  20  20  20  20  20
Houston (IAH)              88  73  88  71  87 /  20  10  20  10  20
Galveston (GLS)            84  78  84  77  84 /  10  10  20  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 5 PM CDT this
     afternoon FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: Waters from Freeport to
     the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from
     High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$



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