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000
FXUS64 KHGX 190438
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1138 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE

&&

.AVIATION...
ONLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE THIS EVENING IS TO REPLACE MENTION OF VCSH
WITH VCTS AS ATMOSPHERE LOOKS UNSTABLE ENOUGH TOMORROW TO SUPPORT
THUNDER WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ACTIVITY THAT IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. 38

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1001 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013/

UPDATE...
EVENING FORECAST UPDATE.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FINALLY ENDING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
ONLY ACTIVITY IS ISOLATED TO NEAR KSGR AND ESE OF HOUSTON WHERE
FLS REMAINS IN EFFECT. DID HAVE SOME GOOD RAIN TOTALS WITH A
COUPLE OF THE HCFCD GAGES SHOWING 2-3 INCHES OF RAIN IN 3 HOURS.
STORM ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTH OF KSGR SHOWING SOME HEAVY RAINFALL BUT
FAIRLY ISOLATED STORM. KEPT SOME 30/40 POPS IN PLACE THROUGH 06Z
AND THEN 20 POPS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT. THIS MAY BE OVERDONE
AS NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION FOR THE REST OF THE
NIGHT. TOMORROW THINK POPS LOOK ON TRACK WITH SEVERAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES AROUND AND DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE. UPDATED FORECAST
WILL BE SENT SHORTLY.

39

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013/

DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION FOR 00Z TAF DISCUSSION

AVIATION...
TSRA THAT HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
FROM EARLIER CONVECTION ACROSS NORTH TEXAS CONTINUES TO PUSH
SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS OUR REGION THIS EVENING. NORTHERN SITES
HAVE CLEARED OUT AS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AROUND THE
METRO AREA TAF SITES. THIS AREA WILL REMAIN ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AS IT LIES BETWEEN THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO THE NORTH AND
SEABREEZE FRONT TO THE SOUTH. EXPECT WINDS INLAND TO BECOME LIGHT
OVERNIGHT WHILE COASTAL LOCATIONS KEEP SOUTHERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT.
SOME BRIEF MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE TOWARDS DAYBREAK WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION AGAIN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. 38

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      75  95  75  96  75 /  20  20  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              75  94  75  95  75 /  30  30  10  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  90  80  90  81 /  20  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...39
AVIATION/MARINE...38