Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

373
FXUS64 KHGX 280014
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
714 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2016


.AVIATION...
Storms still firing off around UTS/CXO and as seabreeze and
outflow from Polk Co. storms collides may see some develop there
near 6R3/IAH in the next hour or two. Outflow from the storms near
the cold front pushed south and is nearing LFK-GRK line at 00z.
This boundary should become a player in storms tomorrow as well as
the frontal boundary that is still sagging southward though quite
diffuse. Storms should wane this evening and expect these to be
done over the area terminals by 02z or so. Primarily VFR tonight
with remnant CI and light/calm winds. In the morning the region
should have moisture pooled over the area in abundance and just
east of the area. Storms will probably initiate along the
landbreeze in the morning before waning...then inland along the
seabreeze and in the moist axis along and south of the frontal
zone over East Texas. By late morning the storms should begin to
shift south and southwestward probably meeting up with the
seabreeze...this will probably put UTS/CXO/IAH/HOU under the gun
for prolonged impacts from the storms between 18z-00z...as the
afternoon wears on the storms may begin to move a little faster
but none are going to be moving more than 20 mph...and probably
more like 5-10 mph.
45

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED /

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms have popped up across the
region...both along the baybreeze/seabreeze and an axis of higher
PW air drifting in from east Tx and La. This activity should
persist into the evening and gradually dissipate with the loss of
heating.

Expecting to see some redevelopment offshore before sunrise in
association with a landbreeze. Diffuse wind shift/frontal
boundary/moisture axis will again become the focus for another
round of tstms across east Tx again during the day on Tue. This
activity should sag SW...and the concern is that it might
eventually collide with the seabreeze/baybreeze during the day
Tue. Confidence regarding timing & exact location where (if) this
occurs fairly low...but the metro area many times is positioned
within the targeted area. Localized heavy rain & strong winds a
possibility.

Scattered...mainly diurnally driven shra/tsra will remain in the
fcst thru the remainder of the work week. Upper ridge builds in
from the west over the holiday weekend which should suppress
precip chances, but allow for climbing temperatures. 47

MARINE...
Winds will be light and variable over the waters through the
end of the week. A weak cold front will approach the waters Tuesday
and stall out near or off the coast Tuesday evening...bringing
increasing thunderstorm chances with locally higher winds and seas
possible in and near thunderstorms. An onshore flow will eventually
redevelop on Thursday but will not begin to strengthen until
Saturday as low pressure over W TX begins to deepen.  Tides will
remain 0.5 to 1.0 feet above normal through Tuesday night. 43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      76  93  76  93  75 /  30  50  50  20  10
Houston (IAH)              76  93  75  91  75 /  30  60  30  40  20
Galveston (GLS)            81  89  79  89  80 /  20  50  40  50  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...41
Aviation/Marine...45



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.