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000
FXUS64 KHGX 150020
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
720 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

.AVIATION...
STORMS ON THE COAST AND MOVING OUT QUICKLY. A FEW LINGERING
SHOWERS WHICH SHOULD BE OVER BY 02Z FOR LBX/GLS AREAS. CIGS
IMPROVING QUICKLY WITH DEEP DRY AIR OVERSPREADING THE AREA FROM
THE NORTH...VFR FROM SGR-HOU NORTHWARD WITH SOME WRAP AROUND
SCT-BKN3000-5000FT CEILINGS WELL TO THE NORTH. MAIN ISSUE IS
STRONG GUSTY NORTH WINDS NOW...GUSTING TO 40KTS AT GLS WITH 25KT
GUSTS COMMON INLAND. STRONG CAA WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT
AND ONLY EXPECT WINDS TO GRADUALLY COME DOWN. NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS IN THE MORNING MAY BECOME ENE AT 5-10KTS FOR IAH SOUTHWARD
BY LATE AFTERNOON.
45

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014/

DISCUSSION...
AT 345 WATCHING ONE REMAIN REMAINING ELEVATED TSTM MOVING IN FROM
THE SW CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL (EGYPT HAS BEEN A LARGE HAIL
MAGNET IN THE PAST). CX MOST OF THE EARLIER WATCH EXCEPT AROUND
THAT TSTM.

EXTENDED WIND ADVSY AT THE COAST UNTIL 4 AM. ANTICIPATE SPEEDS TO
ACTUALLY INCREASE AS COLDER AIR MOVES OVER THE WARMER WATER. GUSTS
ABOVE 40 MPH A GOOD BET AT THE BEACHES/COASTLINE.

UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT. LOWS WILL APPROACH
RECORDS BUT SUSPECT WET GROUND/WINDS WILL BE LIMITING FACTORS FOR
THE SRN 2/3. HERE`S THE RECORDS FOR TUE:

CLL 38/1928 (FCST 35)
IAH 38/1928 (FCST 39)
GLS 41/1929 (FCST 45)

HIGH PRES WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESUME
LATE TUE. GRADUAL WARMING/MOISTENING TREND WILL THEN ENSUE.
WEAKENING FRONT WILL DIP INTO SE TX FRI AND BECOME DIFFUSE/WASHOUT
AS ITS UPPER SUPPORT AND PUSH HEADS OFF TO THE NE.  47

MARINE...
AN ALL-WATER GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY 7 AM CDT.
NORTHWESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE LOCAL WATERS AS
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WORKS IN TANDEM WITH A TIGHT OFFSHORE
PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT FOLLOWS/DEVELOPS BEHIND THIS AFTERNOON`S COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE. ELEVATED SEAS TO AS HIGH AS 10-12 FEET OFFSHORE...7
TO 8 FEET NEARSHORE. RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TO PASS OVER
THE WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. SMALL CRAFT ARE NOT
ADVISED TO BE ON THE WATER THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL WEAKEN/LOWER THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH GALE WARNINGS LOWERING TO
ADVISORIES THEN FALLING TO CAUTIONS BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING OVERHEAD ON ITS EASTERN TREK WILL HAVE LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING ONSHORE BY MID-WEEK. A WEAK BOUNDARY FRIDAY WILL BACK
EASTERLIES A TOUCH MORE NORTHEASTERLY. HIGHER LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCES
PER A DEVELOPING NEAR-COASTAL SURFACE TROUGH. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      35  64  40  71  56 /  10   0   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              39  64  40  71  58 /  10   0   0  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            45  63  51  68  63 /  20   0   0  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AUSTIN...BRAZOS...BURLESON...COLORADO...FORT BEND...
     GRIMES...HOUSTON...LIBERTY...MADISON...MONTGOMERY...POLK...
     SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON...
     WHARTON.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...JACKSON...
     MATAGORDA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
     THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT
     20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...41
AVIATION/MARINE...45