Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 311550
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1050 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Morning surface analysis has a cold front pushing through
Oklahoma and Texas Panhandle. This front should slide into north
Texas and stall just south of the Red River tomorrow. Higher
moisture axis exists to the west with 12Z CRP sounding showing 2
inches of precipitable water and 12Z LCH sounding showing 1.2
inches. Any thunderstorm activity today should develop west of
Houston within the higher moisture axis. Storms may move into the
region later today. Earlier WRF runs and the Tx Tech WRF were
suggesting this possibility. Overall think the forecast is on
track and will continue to monitor hi-res model runs for any
changes. Main concern will still be for the end of the week with
the heavy rainfall potential. If forecast trends continue we may
need to issue a flash flood watch for the area.

Overpeck

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      87  71  84  70  82 /  30  30  60  70  70
Houston (IAH)              87  71  86  71  84 /  20  10  50  50  70
Galveston (GLS)            84  76  84  75  84 /  10  10  30  50  60

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...39



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