Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 221739
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1239 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.AVIATION...
Not a lot of changes with the TAFs with this package. While we are
seeing quite a bit of moisture moving in from the east (along with
a couple of shortwaves from around the bottom of the upper ridge),
the very limited CU deck out west would seem to indicate that this
subsident pattern is "winning". But even if we do get a stray SHRA
or TSRA (or two), coverage should be sparse enough to not have any
mention of precip in the TAF at this time. 41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED / 1026 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

High pressure dominating the weather this morning along with the
nocturnal inversion and landbreeze circulation...but that is
changing. Moisture increasing today as a series of weak upper
level disturbances move out of LA into the area this afternoon.
Expect as we eclipse the convective temperature of 91-93 degrees
we start to see isolated showers/thunderstorms develop. Areas near
the coast east of Galveston Bay will probably be the first (where
deeper moisture present) then expanding inland and developing west
of Galveston Bay along the Highway 59 corridor. Storms should be
slow moving and capable of quick 1/2 to 1 1/2" of rain before
moving on. Nudged up the rain chances south and east and some
minor tweaks to cloud cover today and overnight...clearing quickly
after 8 pm. 45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      99  77  98  77  97 /  10  10  20  10  30
Houston (IAH)              98  79  97  79  96 /  30  10  30  10  50
Galveston (GLS)            93  82  92  82  91 /  20  20  20  20  40

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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