Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 150443
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1143 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014


.AVIATION...
VFR. AT 04Z WINDS 7-15G11-28KT INLAND AND 30G35KT ON THE COAST.
HIGH PRESSURE TOTALLY DOMINATING THE WEATHER AND AS IT MOVES DOWN
INTO THE SOUTHERN HILL COUNTRY TUESDAY MORNING WINDS ACROSS SETX
TERMINALS SHOULD GRADUALLY COME DOWN OVERNIGHT. N TO NE WINDS AT
AREA TERMINALS IN THE MORNING WILL RELAX AND BECOME MORE NORTHEAST
TO VARIABLE AND LESS THAN 6 KNOTS BY LATE AFTERNOON INLAND.
45

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1013 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PCPN FINALLY MOVING OUT OF THE AREA WITH WINDS FINALLY STARTING TO
SHOW SOME SIGNS OF WINDING DOWN. AS SUCH (ALONG WITH THE CLEARING/
CLEAR SKIES) WE SHOULD ALSO START TO SEE TEMPS RESPOND ACCORDINGLY
THE REST OF TONIGHT. HOWEVER THIS SLIGHT DELAY OF DECOUPLING WINDS
IS MORE NOTICEABLE OVER THE NRN COUNTIES WHEN COMPARING LATEST OBS
TO TEMP GRIDS. BUT STILL PROBABLY NO CHANGES AT THE TIME. THIS UN-
SEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS MOVING INTO SE TX IS UNSEASONABLY COLD. 41

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014/

AT 345 WATCHING ONE REMAIN REMAINING ELEVATED TSTM MOVING IN FROM
THE SW CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL (EGYPT HAS BEEN A LARGE HAIL
MAGNET IN THE PAST). CX MOST OF THE EARLIER WATCH EXCEPT AROUND
THAT TSTM.

EXTENDED WIND ADVSY AT THE COAST UNTIL 4 AM. ANTICIPATE SPEEDS TO
ACTUALLY INCREASE AS COLDER AIR MOVES OVER THE WARMER WATER. GUSTS
ABOVE 40 MPH A GOOD BET AT THE BEACHES/COASTLINE.

UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT. LOWS WILL APPROACH
RECORDS BUT SUSPECT WET GROUND/WINDS WILL BE LIMITING FACTORS FOR
THE SRN 2/3. HERE`S THE RECORDS FOR TUE:

CLL 38/1928 (FCST 35)
IAH 38/1928 (FCST 39)
GLS 41/1929 (FCST 45)

HIGH PRES WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESUME
LATE TUE. GRADUAL WARMING/MOISTENING TREND WILL THEN ENSUE.
WEAKENING FRONT WILL DIP INTO SE TX FRI AND BECOME DIFFUSE/WASHOUT
AS ITS UPPER SUPPORT AND PUSH HEADS OFF TO THE NE.  47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      35  64  40  71  56 /  10   0   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              39  64  40  71  58 /  10   0   0  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            45  63  51  68  63 /  20   0   0  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...JACKSON...
     MATAGORDA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 7 AM CDT TUESDAY
     THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT
     20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...41
AVIATION/MARINE...45



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