Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 241711
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1111 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.AVIATION...
A cold front was approaching the College Station area and will
continue to saunter across the CWA making to the coast between
23-01z. Skies will clear in the wake of the front but clouds
expected to hang around ahead of the boundary with VFR/marginal
MVFR cigs. Winds will become W-NW and eventually north tonight.
Winds will be stronger near the coast tonight into Saturday. VFR
conds expected Saturday as high pressure settles over the southern
plains. 43

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 908 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Minor changes to the forecast this morning to account for current
observations and short term model guidance. The cold front that is
just northwest of Burleson to Houston county line, will reach
these northern counties late this morning. This front will be a
dry one, with no precip out ahead of it. Northwesterly winds will
follow behind the front, helping to usher in drier air and cooler
temperatures. Expecting the front to move in a little faster based
off the short term model guidance. The front should clear the
coast by 00Z, early this evening. The cooler temperatures will lag
behind the wind shift by a few hours, and should begin to see the
dip in temperatures slightly before midnight.

Otherwise, should see high temperatures reach into the lower to mid
80s late this afternoon. Clear skies will prevail for much of the
day, as the current sheet of stratocumulus clouds push off the
coast this morning.

Hathaway

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 522 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017/

FIRE WEATHER...
Cooler, but significantly drier air will follow a cold front
across the area this afternoon. Relative humidity will at least
flirt with RFW thresholds late afternoon, and in localized areas
in the west, should meet them easily. Fortunately, winds should
fall short. A similar story tomorrow with humidity near or just
above warning thresholds, but weaker winds are expected as high
pressure works in. Additionally, while the low humidity may dry
very fine fuels, recent rains should keep heavier fuels in the
wettest 50 percentiles for both fuel moisture and (predictably)
ERC. Bottom line: weather factors may support more vigorous
burning for fires in exclusively grassy fuels for the next couple
of days. But generally wetter fuels and a lack of stronger winds
should mitigate a serious fire weather threat.

Luchs

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      79  43  62  44  71 /  10   0   0  10  30
Houston (IAH)              84  48  67  44  73 /  10   0   0  10  20
Galveston (GLS)            79  55  65  57  71 /  10   0   0  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for the following
     zones: Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel
     from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport from
     20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Discussion...08
Aviation/Marine...43



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