Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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486
FXUS64 KHGX 172011
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
311 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

Few to scattered cumulus clouds can be observed across SE Texas this
afternoon. Mid-upper level ridging and subsidence should keep the
area dry for the most part; however, could have isolated
precipitation along the sea breeze (less than 20% chance).
Temperature will continue to run a couple of degrees above normal
for this time of year> Tomorrow, highs in the upper 80s along the
coast and in the 90s inland. Lows for tonight and Wednesday night
will be in the 70s to near 80 degrees.

Adams

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

The South Central CONUS remains well within the grip of a
pronounced omega block pattern heading into the end of the week,
with the synoptic pattern remains dominated by the presence of a
~590-592 dam midlevel ridge. As such, a warmer than normal but
otherwise benign period can be expected to prevail through the
weekend. Elevated midlevel heights continue to support the
potential for slightly warmer than normal highs, with most
locations remaining in the lower to mid 90s through the weekend
and into next week. The potential for convection will be
diminished given the presence of a subsidence inversion on
forecast soundings as well as a slightly decreasing trend in
available moisture. Limited rainfall potential will remain
confined to the immediate coast and offshore heading into the
weekend and into next week, though coverage of storms looks to be
isolated at best. The blocking pattern looks to begin to break
down heading into next week, suggesting the potential for more
seasonally normal conditions.

Maximum heat index values will still hover around the 100 mark
during this time. As such, heat safety precautions should still be
considered if spending any time outdoors.

Cady

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

VFR prevailing with light winds. Pattern for light patchy fog in
the early morning hours will continue.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 256 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

The marine pattern remains a relatively calm one for the
foreseeable future. Light onshore winds and seas near 2 feet will
continue for the next several days. Rainfall chances will be
limited, but will increase slightly heading into the weekend.
Storm coverage will remain isolated in nature for the time being.

Cady

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  74  97  74  96 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  76  95  77  95 /  10   0   0  10
Galveston (GLS)  80  89  80  87 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....Cady
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...Cady