Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 171150
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
650 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

.AVIATION...
AREA OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING WITH CEILINGS GENERALLY AROUND 5000 FEET. EXPECT THIS
ACTIVITY TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH OCASSIONAL MVFR CEILINGS
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRINGER ACTIVITY. FOR NOW...STAYED WITH VFR CONDITIONS
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND ON INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS SOME DRIER AIR FILTERS
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH.  42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 324 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SEEING SCT SHWRS FORMING JUST WEST OF SE TX TONIGHT AS A SHRT WV
APPROACHES. SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE (HRRR AND RAP) ARE
INDICATING THAT WE WILL SEE CONTINUED SCT SHWR DEVELOPMENT
TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA AND OFFSHORE.
SO...BUMPED POPS UP SOME TODAY AND WILL MENTION SHWRS INLAND WITH
SOME TSTMS POSSIBLE OFFSHORE.

MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE WITH ABUNDANT HIGH/MID PACIFIC
MOISTURE SPREADING OVER A MOISTENING LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS. IN THE
WAKE OF THE SHRT WV TODAY/THIS EVE...A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL PUSH
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND INTO FRI AND WE WILL SEE
SOME BRIEF DRYING. WILL SEE MOISTURE INCREASE AGAIN THIS
WEEKEND...BUT WILL BE BATTLING A CAP TO GET PRECIP GOING AS THE
MID/UPPER TROF APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WILL HAVE CHC POPS
ACROSS NW AREAS ON SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN WE WILL HAVE THE BEST CHC OF
SOME CONVECTION WEST OF THE AREA MOVING INTO SE TX AS THE
WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVES ACROSS. EXPECT TO SEE A
TEMPORARY MID/UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE AREA TUE AFT THROUGH
WED...WHICH WILL SET THE STAGE FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EARLY/MID
NEXT WEEK. 33

MARINE...
LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED SEAS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. CAUTION FLAGS MIGHT
BE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY FOR PORTIONS OF THE 00-60 NM WATERS.
THE AREA COULD SEE SOME RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDER TODAY AS A
DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A BRIEF WIND SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BEFORE ONSHORE
WINDS RETURN TO THE AREA ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS
LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK. 42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      72  57  78  58  79 /  20  20  10  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              73  58  80  59  80 /  30  20  10  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            72  63  75  66  76 /  30  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION/MARINE...42



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